Agreed. Hopefully I'm wrong, but gut feeling tells me that Fran may have to end up taking a few chances on some guys.
Feel free to add to this list, but the way I see it, there are four types of players you can attempt to recruit:
1) Blue Chippers - We all know what these are, and our odds of outdueling UNC, UK, KU, etc. for these types of players
2) "3-star" types that are decent players but with limited skillsets or athletic ability - This seems to be mostly the types of players we have been getting in recent years. Mostly these would seem to be the role players on Top-20 teams.
3) Projects - We've had some of these too. I'm pretty much talking about players recruited mainly just by mid-majors, who are very raw and might be able to contribute something when they are juniors or seniors
4) Talented players with past academic/attitude issues - I guess guys like Royce White, Kaylon Williams, etc.
Fran already said he doesn't want to recruit projects, so I guess strike down #3. If we can't get #1, then that leaves #2 and #4. It seems likely to me that we might have to roll the dice on a few #4's at some point if we want to significantly upgrade our talent level, and potentially risk a little bit of the baggage that can come with it.