We will have a million well before the end of April.
I dont try to predict nature like this because there are too many unknowns
We will have a million well before the end of April.
When they post new numbers everyday they are reporting accumalated cases from the beginning of the outbreak. Is that correct?I dont think I said you couldnt or didnt understand compounding interest.
Looking that todays global covid numbers it appears the death rate is about 5%. But I would say since testing is so woeful in the US, UK and other areas that the total number of cases is much more which would drastically decrease the death rate. China may have many more infected without hardly any more deaths to also skew the death rate higher.
So I am hopeful the death rate is much lower and with smaller peaks in cases the death rate and total numbers in the US is much smaller than predicted.
But if everyone kept mingling in the US it would be easy to see 60 million citizens, which is only one in 5.5 people, getting the virus and therefore at even a 1% death rate that would be 600,000 people which would be a national disaster. This is why the experts are trying to shut this down by stay in place etc so that there is healthcare for those who need it.
Those reports from Italy of people finding people dead at home are really bad and show they were swamped caring for so many sick.
There are exceptions for this one thread. It's only the biggest story of all our lifetimes.
I will keep my bias to myself when others stop relying on these stupid graphs and charts that project nothing but sound and fury, signifying nothing.
Oh we could see it.
But it would take days of it to get to the 50,000 deaths I predicted about ten days ago, and months of it to get to the one million deaths others are predicting.
Wow, the "National File" is quite the news source and I doing a search on that news outlet it says their editor in chief was a frequent guest with Alex Jones, nice, very nice. Do you subscribe to Breitbart also.
Fun fact. A singular natural occurrence, the Mount Saint Helen's volcanic eruption, belched more toxic crap into our atmosphere than a decade worth of human industrialization.Don Henley was right. The evening news is loving this shit and they are pouring gas on the fear fire. They report the deaths, "another positive case reported today" , but say nothing about the number of negative cases. They find a clip of an ambulance and tag it to this virus as if they are picking up sick patients off street corners. Pretty soon Gov. Cuomo will report a shortage of ambulances and we dont have enough stretchers. Gimme gimme gimme. I am not poo pooing this thing but I also think the hysteria is a bit much. The truth is somewhere in the middle. The worst part is this reaction is ruining peoples lives much more than virus ever will. These clips of nurses singing Amazing Grace as if the end is near is more hype. STAY HOME!!! HIDE UNDER YOUR BED! Sheep do exactly what the talking heads tell them to do.
I'm not really sure. I don't have regular contact with him as I've moved away from that area. I see him at class reunions every 5-10 years. I know he's put a few pounds on but so have a lot of us. 61 years old and sometimes the virus attacks certain people pretty hard.Is his general health good or does he have some of the chronic co-morbid conditions? Age? Hope he makes it through.