Iowa State is opportunistic on the offensive glass. Ejim and hogue are good offensive rebounders and I think they'll try to get some.
Iowa State is opportunistic on the offensive glass. Ejim and hogue are good offensive rebounders and I think they'll try to get some.
KenPom gives us a 43% chance of winning, with a projected score of 85-83 ISU.
Agree. Frequent offensive rebounds and putbacks or long possessions often lead to fouling which ISU can't afford.Hogue is a good offensive rebounder, Ejim has been pretty average this year. The real battle will be on the other end, Iowa has been terrific on the offensive glass, four guys in the top 500 in O-Reb%, led by Olesani who is 12th in the nation while ISU has 3 guys in the top 500 in D-Reb%, led by Hogue who is 60th. If ISU can stop Iowa from getting second chance points, that will be a huge key to the game.
I am basing this off of the stats to date for ISU as I have not seen them play.
ISU is not an offensive rebounding team. They get most of their boards on the defensive end. I expect they will give up the second chance points and be content to play transition defense.
They protect the ball well enough with a 2-1 assist/to ratio.
Niang and Ejim have had some foul problems, so that is where we can and should exploit our advantage. We need to be aggressive in the paint when we get position on these 2 ( Basabe, Olaseni, White and McCabe) when they come out to guard or hedge, we need to run them through some screens and see if we can't get them to pick up some cheap fouls.
I haven't seen ISU play this year, so I don't know how much zone defense they play. That might be their best chance to keep their best players out of foul trouble.
ISU shoots about the same amount of 3 pt shots, at the same % as we do. That's a wash unless one team gets hot. Uthoff and McCabe will end up being guarded by smaller guys on the perimeter, so they need to let it fly early and often. Especially Uthoff. We can't afford to have him passing up open 3 pt shots.
ISU is a fairly deep team but their size doesn't change very much. We will have a much taller team on the floor for most of the game.
ISU averages 91 points per game and we average 89 ppg. This should be a track meet and a lot of fun to watch.
I like our depth and height in this game. If we come out and hustle like we did in last season's game, we should win. I expect ISU to come out fired up with a lot of intensity. They will want to get the crowd into the game. We have to match that intensity. We can't let them open up a lead and then try and pick up our pace to match theirs. The refs will call the fouls on us and stall any chance of a come back.
I think we win this game.
Is there really a point for them to be here when it isn't during the week of the Iowa State vs Iowa game?
This isn't grounded in reality. While true Iowa has hit approximately the same number of threes on the year as ISU, Iowa has played 11 games to ISUs 7. Iowa does shoot a similar % from three (~.5% less) but has shot far fewer per game at ~17 to ISU's ~28. Thus, Iowas has made ~6 threes per game while ISU has averaged over 10, so not a wash. Just trying to provide stats for the discussion. I had to look all of that up and was a bit surprised by what I found because it "feels" like ISU is less reliant on the three than they were last year.
As you stated, ISU is a great rebounding team, but not a great offensive rebounding team. Iowa has also been a great rebounding team, but I would suggest also a great, or at least much more proficient, offensive rebounding team. ISU does need the extra points from 3 to offset the 2nd chance points Iowa gets, and in reverse, Iowa needs the second chance points as they won't generally get as many from three. I actually believe this game may well be decided by how many offensive rebounds Iowa is able to get/ISU keep them from getting more than the respective shooting percentages. After that stat, I would think turnovers might tell the tale of the tape.
This isn't grounded in reality. While true Iowa has hit approximately the same number of threes on the year as ISU, Iowa has played 11 games to ISUs 7. Iowa does shoot a similar % from three (~.5% less) but has shot far fewer per game at ~17 to ISU's ~28. Thus, Iowas has made ~6 threes per game while ISU has averaged over 10, so not a wash. Just trying to provide stats for the discussion. I had to look all of that up and was a bit surprised by what I found because it "feels" like ISU is less reliant on the three than they were last year.
As you stated, ISU is a great rebounding team, but not a great offensive rebounding team. Iowa has also been a great rebounding team, but I would suggest also a great, or at least much more proficient, offensive rebounding team. ISU does need the extra points from 3 to offset the 2nd chance points Iowa gets, and in reverse, Iowa needs the second chance points as they won't generally get as many from three. I actually believe this game may well be decided by how many offensive rebounds Iowa is able to get/ISU keep them from getting more than the respective shooting percentages. After that stat, I would think turnovers might tell the tale of the tape.
Hawks win by double digits, 87-73. Our bench strength is too much for the team in Lames.