Mademyaccount4u
Well-Known Member
I don't know. The last time Kirk went up against Saban, the results were pretty good.
To those saying Iowa would have to be undefeated for CFP invite...
- Thread starter SpiderRico
- Start date
Iowa's chances are slim and dependent on Wisconsin dropping one more game. As others have pointed out LSU would have at least two losses if Alabama is undefeated.
The question is does a 2 loss LSU w/ the 6th strongest schedule get in over a 1 loss Iowa w/ the 26th strongest schedule?
Teams in this discussion and their SOS:
LSU 6
Michigan State 14
Iowa 26
Penn State 29
Michigan 31
Notre Dame 34
Wisconsin 54
Ohio State 57
Alabama 58
Oh, and the team with the #1 strongest schedule?
Iowa State 1
JoeyLabasForPresident
Well-Known Member
Not if Iowa finishes 12-1. Iowa will likely finish with a higher SOS (That is to say a stronger SOS than they currently have). Those are the SOSs played so far, not what they will finish the season with. LSU’s birth rests on a victory over Bama. Keep in mind that if LSU loses then they don’t play in the SEC championship. Bama can pull 11-1 with a late loss to keep them out of the CCG. LSU cannot do the same with two losses.
I would love a ND Iowa game. That would be amazing.
Also, if Iowa goes 12-1 and Stanley throws 33 tds, is he a Heisman candidate?
EstronHawkKing
Well-Known Member
haven't seen him, but got a nasty whiff of him
JoeyLabasForPresident
Well-Known Member
If his completion percentage is north of 65% and approaching 70%, yes. He’s sitting at 62% right now. He’s on track for a 3000+ yard season. It would take a heroic effort for a guy from Iowa, but 65% would put him right in line with the las five QBs to win it except for Baker Mayfield who had 70%.
InGoodCo
Well-Known Member
I get your point, but Iowa didn’t play 2 FCS teams in the OOC either. There’s no reason to downgrade Iowa except for the fact that’s what you do. If Iowa wins out it will play in the playoffs, but that’s not gonna happen IMO.
tksirius
HN's Love Doctor
When I first read it, I thought he was saying the Clowns were FCS. After reading it again, I see it now. I love jabs thrown at Lames.
Recently from SI; it is a longshot but a possibility as I thought I would never see Iowa 12-0
7. Iowa Hawkeyes (5-1)
This week: vs. Maryland (noon ET, ESPN2)
Toughest remaining test: Oct. 27 at Penn State
The scenario: When Wisconsin lost to Michigan last week, it opened the door for Iowa to win the West division. (Iowa's only loss this season is to Wisconsin.) Iowa still needs the Badgers to lose again, and it's possible they will, with three difficult road trips -- to Northwestern, Penn State and Purdue -- still remaining. Iowa also has to survive back-to-back road games against Penn State (Oct. 27) and Purdue (Nov. 3). It's a tall task, but if the Hawkeyes can win out and upset the East division winner in the Big Ten title game, there could be a big surprise in the final top four.
The odds: The Hawkeyes have a 2 percent chance to reach the playoff and 2 percent chance to win out. If they finish 12-1, there's a 66 percent they will reach the playoff.
7. Iowa Hawkeyes (5-1)
This week: vs. Maryland (noon ET, ESPN2)
Toughest remaining test: Oct. 27 at Penn State
The scenario: When Wisconsin lost to Michigan last week, it opened the door for Iowa to win the West division. (Iowa's only loss this season is to Wisconsin.) Iowa still needs the Badgers to lose again, and it's possible they will, with three difficult road trips -- to Northwestern, Penn State and Purdue -- still remaining. Iowa also has to survive back-to-back road games against Penn State (Oct. 27) and Purdue (Nov. 3). It's a tall task, but if the Hawkeyes can win out and upset the East division winner in the Big Ten title game, there could be a big surprise in the final top four.
The odds: The Hawkeyes have a 2 percent chance to reach the playoff and 2 percent chance to win out. If they finish 12-1, there's a 66 percent they will reach the playoff.
Why should we worry? It has no impact on the team's performance. I've never understood the mentality that somehow fans on a message board can look past another team as if it mattered.
Clearly you do not understand the power of the jinx. You don't want to mess with that stuff, man.
Ree4
Well-Known Member
If I'm too focused on Penn State I might not cheer properly against Maryland or send the right mental energy to the Hawks
Robowe
Well-Known Member
If Iowa wins out, big if, a 66% chance I think is about right. A 2% chance sounds about right overall. If both Oklahoma and Texas win out they will meet in a Big 12 Championship and the winner of that game would probably have an advantage over Iowa. If there is an outright winner in the Big 12, they wouldn't have a championship game, if I understand that correctly and Iowa would have a better chance after beating tOSU or Michigan. A lot depends on how we look beating these teams to. If we squeak out a bunch of games probably a slimmer chance.
InGoodCo
Well-Known Member
for the P5, basically the regular season of CFB is a double elimination tournament every season. Lose twice your almost certainly out. Lose once, you probably make it unless that loss was to bad team or late in the season. I do understand that there is a bias towards blue blood programs, but really, these tournament rules are across the board for every team.
Ree4
Well-Known Member
Doctors say that Nordberg has a 50/50 chance of living, though there's only a 10% chance of that
I definitely like our chances more against them in the championship than the semifinal.
