I am getting a good feeling with Josh Oglesby....hope I am right.
As for Hoiberg and ISU...he is starting from a different spot than Fran. He came in and basically took over the helm with the rest of the program still in place. He did not recruit Cook, he inherited him. He is at ISU, where Big Ten malcontents can transfer and qualify. Iowa and Fran can not get transfers from the non-academic other conferences like Big 12 or Big East....big edge for Hoiberg. But Fran is starting from the ground up, vs what Hoiberg is doing just taking over the top spot with their recruiting program in place already. So Hoiberg is gambling for the quick hit,with guys like White,Babb,and Allen. Fran is starting from scratch and working for 2011,12,13 classes. Fran is also operating from a longer view because everyone knows he is not going anywhere for 5 years,minimum....Barta will leave before he fires Fran after the Lick debacle. In some respects, Fran has a luxury of knowing that he can build to a tourny team by year 3 or 4 or even 5....which might be more sustainable. SA won the BTT in year 2 then had a three year drought,which really hurt his credibility with fans. Better to make the NIT in year 2 and 3, then NCAA in year 4 and 5.
I would argue Fred has more security than Fran. Native son basketball hero coming home, and in the eyes of the fans could never do anything wrong. Heck Pollard would be fired before Fred ever will. So it would seem both coaches are in the same boat they have long term security.
Fred needed to restock the team with bodies due to the mass exodus of players under Mac. Happens he got some very good ones..
But for teams like ISU and Iowa the window to become relevant again is a small one. Both guys need to be in a tourney NIT or whatever by year 3.
Both guys can sell vision right now, lets face it they are both taking over train wrecks, but that sales pitch will only work for a short while.
Both schools have tall tasks ahead of them, according to Scout recruiting as it stands right now 5 of the top 25 schools in talent being brought in for 2011 are Big Ten schools.
For ISU, schools like KSU are good again, and schools like Baylor once a basketball doormat are now a national power. With CU and Nebby leaving the
conference, that took 4 winnable games off the schedule.. Now you have to play the likes of Texas, Baylor, OSU, twice..
Don't envy the challenge either of these guys face..