Pure speculation on the first part.
The point about needing to get one the following year is about balancing classes. We’ve seen how much on uneven classes can put you behind. If we add a senior to next years roster we are probably going to have to bring in a class of 5 in 2020 (again depending on how it plays out). That’s too big imo.
Again I’m totally fine with bringing in a grad transfer guard, I wanted to do that as well last year. I’m really not an any disagreement with anything you're saying, I was just touching on the balancing of classes. With Fran at the helm it seems incredibly unlikely that we will pursue a grad transfer. Interesting offseason it will be for sure.
The reason we dropped so much after our last big class graduated is because the 3 classes after that had one really good player, one good bench player, and a bunch of busts. After this class graduates we have Wieskamp, Garza, and Nunge. That's already way better than last time. Then we have some other possibilities like Pemsl, Joe T, Patrick, and Connor. Not to mention any impactful freshman from the next big class.