busabus114
Well-Known Member
Yes it is
Assuming a $10 bet 11 wins would give you $99.99 vs 9 losses totaling $90 for a profit of $9.99
If you were betting ten million dollars on all of Deace's picks you would be very wealthy right now
Stone Cold Upsets & Lead Pipe Locks - Week 3
- Thread starter SteveDeace
- Start date
Yes it is
Assuming a $10 bet 11 wins would give you $99.99 vs 9 losses totaling $90 for a profit of $9.99
If you were betting ten million dollars on all of Deace's picks you would be very wealthy right now
DuffMan
Well-Known Member
Show me someone with $200,000,000 willing to to bet it all for a profit of 9,000,000.
busabus114
Well-Known Member
It was a joke
Still tho Deace is up money which like I stated before is not easy to do
My biggest problem is taking seriously any football "expert" who believes the term "field general" refers to the coach:
"Speaking of Kelly, he was bypassed for the Michigan State job, and is coaching in his home state as the Notre Dame field general for the first time so you can expect him to have his team prepared."
"Speaking of Kelly, he was bypassed for the Michigan State job, and is coaching in his home state as the Notre Dame field general for the first time so you can expect him to have his team prepared."
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I made my living betting on sports for 2 years.
Going 11-9 and sticking your neck out there with 20 plays .... 10 or 12 per week....... is very hard to do. 11-9 is nothing to sneeze at. Very well played.
Anyone that does not understand that just does not understand sports betting.
11-9 in the first couple weeks is even better. Once the season settles in, it will be clearer what lines to take advantage of. The first couple weeks of a season were always dicey for me.
Clearly if you were betting for profit with actual money you would not make this many plays in a week. Easier to make more plays in college football ...or college athletics for that matter.....since there are so many teams.
But I bet if Deace limited it to his best 3 plays every week his percentage would be right there with or even better than professional handicappers.
Thats why I like his BEST BET play.
I like some of his comments on line movements....... and his comments on the Georgia and kansas games.
You can tell he knows what he is doing.
I made my money on NBA and MLB.......... in 2 years was not profitable in NFL or college football...... wasn't my thing.
Just wanted to chime in. Deace knows his stuff.
Going 11-9 and sticking your neck out there with 20 plays .... 10 or 12 per week....... is very hard to do. 11-9 is nothing to sneeze at. Very well played.
Anyone that does not understand that just does not understand sports betting.
11-9 in the first couple weeks is even better. Once the season settles in, it will be clearer what lines to take advantage of. The first couple weeks of a season were always dicey for me.
Clearly if you were betting for profit with actual money you would not make this many plays in a week. Easier to make more plays in college football ...or college athletics for that matter.....since there are so many teams.
But I bet if Deace limited it to his best 3 plays every week his percentage would be right there with or even better than professional handicappers.
Thats why I like his BEST BET play.
I like some of his comments on line movements....... and his comments on the Georgia and kansas games.
You can tell he knows what he is doing.
I made my money on NBA and MLB.......... in 2 years was not profitable in NFL or college football...... wasn't my thing.
Just wanted to chime in. Deace knows his stuff.
PJHawk
Well-Known Member
In Vegas do you always have to bet against the spread or can you just pick a winner?
There is also a MONEY LINE.
In baseball, which is where I was the most profitable, Money Lines are what you bet on and not point spreads.
In football for instance- instead of betting the point spread......you can pick a team to win straightup but you would be then betting on the money line. A team that is favored by -6 or -7...... the money line would probably be -270 to -300..... somewhere in there.
Which means you would have to bet $270 to win $100. Or if the moneyline was -300...... you would bet $300 to win $100.
You can see how that is not worth it.
Betting moneylines for a team to win straight up is going to lead to some financial difficulties.
So the answer is no, you do not have to only bet the point spread..... however, it also is not just as simple as saying you think Alabama is going to beat Duke this weekend either.
PJHawk
Well-Known Member
Given that example if you pick the underdog to win a $100 bet would win $300?
busabus114
Well-Known Member
Moneylines dont mirror eachother. A favorite might be -300 but the dog might only be +270 or so. But your logic is still right. You would bet $100 to win $270 if they were plus 270
dhow
Well-Known Member
Welp. 0 for 1
billdozer15
Well-Known Member
I'm the moron huh......No amount of practice by Minny was going to make up for the lack of athletes they have compared to USC, couple that with all that happened around the Minny program this week and you have disaster waiting to happen. My prediction of a blowout was correct. USC gave up a TD with 11 seconds remaining to make the score closer than it really was.
I was also correct in my prediction that NU would blow out UW. It went down just as I suggested it would only the final score was worse than I expected.
I did miss on the Iowa score. 2 outta 3 aint bad.
I would like to here Steve's thoughts on NU now. I was planning on calling his show after the rout, but he dissappointed me severly by leaving his show two days before I had a chance to call in......Let me guess on the response, Jake Locker isnt a good QB now and NU's defense had nothing to do with his debacle.
busabus114
Well-Known Member
Minnesota covered the spread....in this thread that makes your prediction a LOSS
hawkeyescott
Well-Known Member
Bold is the losses, so you went 4-6, but yet were giving someone crap about going 11-9 over 2 weeks. How does that foot taste you put in your mouth?
And before you come back about me picking, I never said I could do better, in fact I don't think I could because I don't do near as much research as Deace.
billdozer15
Well-Known Member
I did lose it to the spread, but my original post was in response to the prediction that Minny would outright upset USC. That was laughable at best.
DuffMan
Well-Known Member
Deace went 4-8 this week...
hawkeyescott
Well-Known Member
That wasn't my point, a lot of people gave Deace crap about being 11-9 and then they did their own to try and show they could pick better and look what happened, they didn't come out better.
DuffMan
Well-Known Member
He did do better, by two games.
hawkeyescott
Well-Known Member
Not by much because he picked 2 less games, Deacer's winning % was .333 and his was .400 but again not my point as this isn't about going head to head. For the last time I will try to explain it, people made it seem like it was pretty easy to go over .500 and Deace was a little above .500 yet when others did it they found themselves with about the same record as Deace. In other words if he would have went to Vegas and laid equal money on his games instead of what Deace picked he still would have lost.
Basically the moral of the story is don't give a guy **** about his picks when you can't pick much (if any) better.
hawkfaninTX
Well-Known Member
6-3-1 not too bad, barely beating the juice.
i initially put 5-3-1- which adds up to 9 games, i left off my NCST winning pick
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