1977Hawkeye
Well-Known Member
Yeah, national expectations, local expectations, fan expectations, reasonable expectations. Low expectations are what Iowa basketball is and has been for the last 20 years. Fran didn't cause that. If anything, he's changed the perception at least a little. If the team is picked to finish 9th or 10th but finishes 5th or 6th, that's ahead of what was expected. He's only finished below .500 3 times in 9 years and 2 of those times were his first.... so, that's what I mean by routinely playing above expectations. Fran has not made any sweet 16's - which is a tournament run. He needs to do that, but more so he needs to routinely hit the NCAA to make that an attainable goal. He's got that part down, now to take the next step. Who's to say that we're not on the heels of that? We may be. I don't know. I just know we'll likely be better then what is expected because we usually are. I didn't personally set those expectations.
I'm not sure why this keeps happening, but I feel that a huge part of making a Sweet 16 or better is avoiding those February/March meltdowns that have been all too common. Getting to the dance is one thing, but finishing the season 1-7 or 2-6 and slipping to a 7-10 seed makes it highly unlikely they get past the first weekend. Barring a major upset, a 1 or 2 seed awaits.
Fran's teams need to find consistency, especially down the stretch, and grab a Top 5 seed or so, so that the second round game is more of a coin flip as opposed to us being a heavy underdog. Also makes it a lot more likely to benefit from a 1st round upset when you're next to a 4/5 seed in the bracket.
All this said, I wonder what carries more weight with recruits: A great regular season and early NCAA exit, or a long tournament run but so-so regular season?
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