Our big win out the window?

Tough to do, but I will have a go at it.

In looking at last years schedule, if I did this correctly and my math is right, Iowa ended up with a weighted win percentage of .616 (15.4 wins, 9.6 losses). Say you flip the loss at Nebraska to a win that win percentage jumps to .651 (16.8 wins, 9 losses). That is a difference of .035, divide that number by 4 since it is 25% of the RPI score and you get .00875. Iowa ended up with an RPI score of .551 which was good for 78th (using ESPN), add on the RPI difference (.00875) and you get .55975 RPI which would have moved Iowa up to 64th.

This is not exact since there are other minor adjustments that take place when you convert losses into wins. But it gives you a general idea of the impact the win percentage has on the RPI at the end of the season. Right now Iowa's RPI is jumping all over the place on a day to day basis that is because every win or loss a previous opponent gets moves the RPI score more now than it does at the end of the season. At the end of the season the opponents wins or losses do not have much of an impact because the numbers are so large while Iowa's wins or losses moves it more since you are still moving a relatively small number.

Nerd!
 
Tough to do, but I will have a go at it.

In looking at last years schedule, if I did this correctly and my math is right, Iowa ended up with a weighted win percentage of .616 (15.4 wins, 9.6 losses). Say you flip the loss at Nebraska to a win that win percentage jumps to .651 (16.8 wins, 9 losses). That is a difference of .035, divide that number by 4 since it is 25% of the RPI score and you get .00875. Iowa ended up with an RPI score of .551 which was good for 78th (using ESPN), add on the RPI difference (.00875) and you get .55975 RPI which would have moved Iowa up to 64th.

This is not exact since there are other minor adjustments that take place when you convert losses into wins. But it gives you a general idea of the impact the win percentage has on the RPI at the end of the season. Right now Iowa's RPI is jumping all over the place on a day to day basis that is because every win or loss a previous opponent gets moves the RPI score more now than it does at the end of the season. At the end of the season the opponents wins or losses do not have much of an impact because the numbers are so large while Iowa's wins or losses moves it more since you are still moving a relatively small number.

Want to do my statistics homework?
 
Tough to do, but I will have a go at it.

In looking at last years schedule, if I did this correctly and my math is right, Iowa ended up with a weighted win percentage of .616 (15.4 wins, 9.6 losses). Say you flip the loss at Nebraska to a win that win percentage jumps to .651 (16.8 wins, 9 losses). That is a difference of .035, divide that number by 4 since it is 25% of the RPI score and you get .00875. Iowa ended up with an RPI score of .551 which was good for 78th (using ESPN), add on the RPI difference (.00875) and you get .55975 RPI which would have moved Iowa up to 64th.

This is not exact since there are other minor adjustments that take place when you convert losses into wins. But it gives you a general idea of the impact the win percentage has on the RPI at the end of the season. Right now Iowa's RPI is jumping all over the place on a day to day basis that is because every win or loss a previous opponent gets moves the RPI score more now than it does at the end of the season. At the end of the season the opponents wins or losses do not have much of an impact because the numbers are so large while Iowa's wins or losses moves it more since you are still moving a relatively small number.

You would also have to give Nebraska a loss instead of a win, since they're W/L factors in heavily to RPI.
 

Yeah but I bet my wife is hotter than yours!

Lewis-Betty-Revenge-Nerds.jpg


All us nerds ever think about is sex........oh and RPI.

:D
 
You would also have to give Nebraska a loss instead of a win, since they're W/L factors in heavily to RPI.

I said it wasn't exact, adding a loss to Nebraska has a relatively minor impact to our opponents W-L record. I say minor because, again, you are moving a much larger number which was part of my point. There is also minor impacts to opponents/opponents records as well. Even if it "only" moved Iowa up to 65th, that is still one heck of a jump from 78th.
 
So a win at Nebraska, who IIRC, was a fringe Top 100 team last year would have moved us 14 spots in the RPI rankings?

That seems hard to believe.

IPA, the RPI is all about numbers. Where Nebraska is ranked has zero impact on the RPI score. It is all about the teams win percentage, the opponents win percentage, and the opponents opponents win percentage.

What you are talking about is tournament resume, which the committee also uses to determine big wins and bad losses. Putting that loss on Nebraska would have knocked them out of the RPI top 100, but I think the fact that Iowa lost at Nebraska hurt them more in the eyes of the committee more than beating them at home. At the end of the day Iowa would have been in the tournament, I cannot imagine the committee keeping out a 10-8 B1G team (22-11 overall) considered the toughest conference. But an RPI ranked in the 60s probably would have made Iowa one of the last teams in the tournament and ultimately playing in the 1st round (to 1977's point about seedings).
 
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Minnesota is better than thought and will be a tough win at Carver, but we can do it. There at least two ways to look at the OSU loss at Williams. It was on the road and we beat them at Columbus, which is difficult for any team. Our win trumps Minnesotas, but takes some of the luster off our magnificent win, which was very important as far as finally finding the ability and mental toughness to close out a difficult victory over ranked opponents.....

Minnesota will be overconfident coming to Carver and that should work in our favor. We must hold home court the entire season. Minnesota is a very good defensive team and quick, forturately we usually have 4/5 players on the floor who can bring the ball upcourt and they are not used to playing a team as uptempo as the Hawks who either lead the nation or are close to the top in getting the ball upcourt......

This makes the game more interesting. We were starting to defeat Minnesota under Tubby, unfortunately Pitano has them playing well. They are not to be taken lightly. The Big is very tough this year, except for NW, the rest of the league can win on a given night. Purdue will be tough with their center who is certainly pro bound.....

:cool:
 
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Minnesota is better than thought and will be a tough win at Carver, but we can do it. There at least two ways to look at the OSU loss at Williams. It was on the road and we beat them at Columbus, which is difficult for any team. Our win trumps Minnesotas, but takes some of the luster off our magnificent win, which was very important as far as finally finding the ability and mental toughness to close out a difficult victory over ranked opponents.....

Minnesota will be overconfident coming to Carver and that should work in our favor. We must hold home court the entire season. Minnesota is a very good defensive team and quick, forturately we usually have 4/5 players on the floor who can bring the ball upcourt and they are not used to playing a team as uptempo as the Hawks who either lead the nation or are close to the top in getting the ball downcourt......

This makes the game more interesting. We were starting to defeat Minnesota under Tubby, unfortunately Pitano has them playing well. They are not to be taken lightly. The Big is very tough this year, except for NW, the rest of the league can win on a given night. Purdue will be tough with their center who is certainly pro bound.....

:cool:

Depends if he decides to play. You never know what your going to get with Hammonds. Lets hope we get the unenthusiastic version. He will go pro though.
 
How does Minnesota beating Ohio State at The Barn diminish Iowa winning in Columbus? How many more home games do you expect Ohio State to lose? Minnesota is a decent team, and winning on the road is difficult for anyone. Wisconsin got beat by an average Indiana team. Illinois lost at NORTHWESTERN.
 
5 minutes to go Minny ahead, makes me feel sick... wondering what you guys think...


The win against OSU is not out the window at all.

1. Minnesota is not that a bad team. Took MSU to overtime in Lansing.
2. Having them beat OSU I believe is a very good thing. Below is why.

With Iowa next up for Minnesota, the Hawks will definitely not take the Gophers lightly. Not that this would have happened had OSU won, but now the Hawks will come out fully prepared Sunday.

Sometimes things happen for a reason and what happened in Minneapolis Thursday night I will view as a good thing.
 
This Iowa team takes nothing for granted (except, for the Omaha game...maybe.) They will come to play Sunday (they just seem hungry to do something this year), if we lose it's because Minnesota is a good team.
 
Wisconsin and OSU are getting exposed by conference coaches that can exploit some of their weaknesses. The same thing could happen to us but because we can score in the half court and in transition, it's more difficult to slow us down.
I'm impressed with MINN a little bit. They have a PG that can penetrate. Collins can get into the lane or shoot from outside, on the wing and they have a couple of decent post players. The Barn won't be an easy out for anyone.
 
This Iowa team takes nothing for granted (except, for the Omaha game...maybe.) They will come to play Sunday (they just seem hungry to do something this year), if we lose it's because Minnesota is a good team.

Exactly, but if Iowa is serious about making a title run they WILL NOT lose on Sunday to this Goof team.
Iowa has to wipe the slate at home this year, I don't care who the opponent is. That is how champions get it done.
 
Tough to do, but I will have a go at it.

In looking at last years schedule, if I did this correctly and my math is right, Iowa ended up with a weighted win percentage of .616 (15.4 wins, 9.6 losses). Say you flip the loss at Nebraska to a win that win percentage jumps to .651 (16.8 wins, 9 losses). That is a difference of .035, divide that number by 4 since it is 25% of the RPI score and you get .00875. Iowa ended up with an RPI score of .551 which was good for 78th (using ESPN), add on the RPI difference (.00875) and you get .55975 RPI which would have moved Iowa up to 64th.

This is not exact since there are other minor adjustments that take place when you convert losses into wins. But it gives you a general idea of the impact the win percentage has on the RPI at the end of the season. Right now Iowa's RPI is jumping all over the place on a day to day basis that is because every win or loss a previous opponent gets moves the RPI score more now than it does at the end of the season. At the end of the season the opponents wins or losses do not have much of an impact because the numbers are so large while Iowa's wins or losses moves it more since you are still moving a relatively small number.

I was told there would be no math here.
 
Wisconsin and OSU are getting exposed by conference coaches that can exploit some of their weaknesses. The same thing could happen to us but because we can score in the half court and in transition, it's more difficult to slow us down.
I'm impressed with MINN a little bit. They have a PG that can penetrate. Collins can get into the lane or shoot from outside, on the wing and they have a couple of decent post players. The Barn won't be an easy out for anyone.

I disagree with this. Eliason is a solid rebounder, but none of their forwards are averaging 7 points per game and Eliason is the only one averaging more than 3.3 boards per game. Minnesota is going to be a tough out at the Barn for just about everyone, but they are completely centered on their guard play (four guards are averaging at least 9.9 ppg, led by Dre Hollins at 15.9 ppg). Assuming they make the tourney, they'll be dangerous with that backcourt.
 

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