thedukeofearl
Well-Known Member
The odds of Cade suffering another injury on the field in play are astronomical
The odds of Cade suffering another injury on the practice field are also rather almost astronomical
Joe Labas
- Thread starter Teddy
- Start date
The odds of Cade suffering another injury on the field in play are astronomical
The odds of Cade suffering another injury on the practice field are also rather almost astronomical
HuckFinn
Well-Known Member
Nope. injuries are more random than “prone.”
Fryowa
Administrator
Completely false.
Ligament injuries are orders of magnitude more likely to reoccur after previous injuries. That's not random. Repairs are never as strong as the natural, uninjured tissue was.
Read this...
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4205204/
Re-tears are 15 times more likely than in the previously uninjured population, and 20-25% of ACL repairs get retorn in athletes. That's astronomical, and very not random.
The study quoted deals with ACLs but it obviously applies to other ligaments as well, and you can find studies that support re-injury rates being higher. McNamara now has both knees compromised, his odds of being competitive next year are probably in the single digits.
Hawkboys
Well-Known Member
He's the one I expect to do good things elsewhere.
If QBs can't get on the field here, they generally do not have success elsewhere. About the only exception is Nic Shimonek, but he didn't see the field because he was behind Ruddock and Beathard.
Hawkboys
Well-Known Member
None of those other guys won a bowl game.
Are you saying Ruddock and Beathard are not that good because they didn't win a bowl game? Because Beathard completed 9 of 10 in the NFL last night, and Ruddock is the only other QB during the KF era to actually throw an NFL pass.
Judging a QB solely by team success would lead us to the conclusion that Brad Johnson and Trent Dilfer are better than Dan Marion and Jim Kelly.
Hawkboys
Well-Known Member
No I referring to the other portal QBs who you said had 0 success elsewhere. They also had 0 success at IA.
Sorry, I can be dense.
BigD
Well-Known Member
One of our Heisman runner ups wasn’t even a starter until our original starter got knocked out.
However I am not sure where that Heisman runner up was against USC. Harmonitis at the QB position that game. The game started out right however as Iowa ran the opening kickoff back for a touchdown.
BigD
Well-Known Member
What I want to know is if he will blow his knee out carrying his books to class?
HuckFinn
Well-Known Member
Interesting and sad. Did not know.
RyDogg
Well-Known Member
Maybe that Labas will not light it up somewhere else?
RobHowe
Administrator
Certainly within the range of outcomes, although less likely than others, especially without knowing the destination.
From this paper, opening sentence of their section on predicting recurrent injuries:
"One clear precept of injury prediction is that the single best predictor of second injury is a prior injury."
Ignore the obvious fact that you cannot suffer a second injury unless you have a first, what this is saying is if you take a group of people who have had a prior ACL tear, and then another group that hasn't, and you try to predict who will have a future injury, there is no characteristic of those individuals that will have more predictive power than whether or not they had that first injury. @Fryowa may have undersold the recurrence rate slightly, some estimates trend towards 1 in 3.
