It only took 10 pages or so, but the decision is actually being discussed rationally. With the situation as it was, I don't think either decision is a mistake. There are pros and cons to Clocking it, and pros and cons to not clocking it, and only hindsight can really prove either right or wrong.
Can clock management be better? Yes. Always and forever on every coaching staff and team there is room for improvement (to wit: Urban Meyer's horrific management this weekend, abysmal).
Now, you all wanna talk probabilities in a game that is inherently stochastic (random). The fact that enough people are arguing both sides of this issue and have (for the most part) compelling reasons is evidence that this particular game and drive is on or near a probabilistic cut point, where the chance of success is approximately equal between clocking it or running the play. It becomes a coin flip. No matter which decision KF had made, people would have argued it was wrong and others defend his decision.
While I understand the need to be reflective and critical of mistakes, even in a win, I think that it's not at all productive to spend a ton of time over-analyzing what amounts to a coin flip (and one that can't ever be repeated to test which outcome is better).
Hindsight doesn't prove right or wrong.
Sure it does when it is a 50/50 call. We ended up needing the extra down as it turned out to get the yardage. So looking at it in hindsight, I'd say not clocking it was the correct call.
Yea but that extra play would be 4th down. Like i said earlier, do you run another play and risk time running out or not getting a 1st down, or do you kick the 57 yarder right there? He probably kicks it there anyway. Of course that's all hindsight so it doesn't really matter. The true question is would you rather lose 1st down or lose 5 seconds? It's a tough decision and that's why this thread is 11 pages and counting.
Kirk's decision to not try to score at the end of halfs has cost his staff a lot of clock management experience over the years. There is nothing better than real game experience and he would have a lot more of it if he wasn't so conservative.
Look, mistake or not...it did not end up with us taking a knee on our 30 and settling for OT...they did what they could in the heat of the moment...CJ is a heads up player, but they lost about only 4 seconds, and he showed great poise and patience...I'll take this ending, good kick or bad kick, any day over the previous game end mismanagements the past whatever number of years!
I also said you would obviously need enough to get a 1st down. We would have kicked the field goal on 1st down had we decided to run another play. What gives you better odds. Kicking a field goal from 57 on 4th. Or running a play with 6 seconds on the clock on 4th down. I think kicking the field goal is better but like I said, it would have been a tough decision.
The thing is normally you lose more than 5 seconds there trying to get a play in and everyone lined up, we got that off really fast and cleanly so it didn't end up hurting.
But almost everyone spikes it there because the risk isn't worth saving a down.
The staff really deserves credit for the fact that it only cost us 5 seconds. I was under the impression that me made a mistake by not spiking it and got lucky that it only cost us 5 seconds. There is no way Kirk improved enough to know it only takes 5 seconds after a 1st down. But one thing I just thought of is maybe Davis knows that. Maybe the keys were finally passed to him to do something that Kirk can't. If Davis is good enough to have a plan to not spike the ball after a 1st down and get a play in really quick, then I'm really happy because our clock management problems are over. Hopefully that's the case because if he was doing it just to save the down and had no idea how much time it would cost, then a blind squirrel found a nut.
*Dodges pieces of sky that is falling, like Chicken Little*
I did hear you say hell was freezing over, right? That Davis may actually have been a good choice for OC?
*Hawkeye fans everywhere scramble to revise their history and say that we've always loved GD*
There is a lot more to being a good OC than being able to run a good 2 minute drill.
In hindsight, with 4 or 5 more seconds on the clock, maybe CJ runs for 15 more yards and we shank a 42 yard field goal. Then Kirk would be right for getting us closer and wrong because we didn't win in regulation. Hindsight doesn't work with any legit arguement.
Not Clocking it was a good call and the right call, even if MK misses that kick. The chance to keep the Pitt D on its heels and the get some yardage on 1st down was way more important than saving 3 seconds.
It only took 10 pages or so, but the decision is actually being discussed rationally. With the situation as it was, I don't think either decision is a mistake. There are pros and cons to Clocking it, and pros and cons to not clocking it, and only hindsight can really prove either right or wrong.
Didn't Rudock do that last year? Spike the ball before the line was set and we got the penalty.