Being down 3 starters(Bohannon, Moss, & Cook) and 2 bench guys (Baer & Dailey) normally equals a down year due to having to rely more on incoming frosh than one would like. What makes this situation a bit different is 3 of the new guys in the rotation have at least 1 year of playing experience at the DI level(Pemsl, Nunge, & Evelyn) and another has been in a DI program for a full year already(Fredrick). Throw in Pat and you have another guy that, while he hasn't officially been part of the team, has grown up around the program and you have 5 guys that should be ready to contribute. So I guess that means Joe T is the lone guy that has not been around a DI program before and all indications are that he's fitting in quite well already.
There are definitely some unknowns at how the guard play will shake out but I think some fans are being too cautious with their expectations. IMO they should be considered a bubble team and around .500 in conference play(give or take a game or two) with a chance to do better if the guards end up playing well. If this team isn't at least competitive or within a game or two of being .500 in conference play, something went wrong. I don't see it happening (barring any unforeseen circumstances) but if they resemble the 2017-2018 team at all, Fran should be shown the door.