We just need the Big 12 to take themselves out and be left out again. Okie St still has Baylor and Oklahoma. Baylor still has 4 tough tests and hasn't looked as good with backup QB.
Leaving
Bama
Clemson
Iowa (as long as they win out)
ND or Stanford who play head to head
If Oklahoma St wins out, that could throw a wrench in this whole thing!! But I would wonder who who would have a stronger strength of schedule with Iowa playing an extra game in the Big 10 championship. Okie St would have played Baylor, TCU and Oklahoma all at home so no quality road wins and their non conference was junk. So I'm still not sure we don't get selected ahead of them anyways.