If I was Jbo, I would be talking to Garza a great deal in the next 9 days. If Garza is leaving early, I would play this year. And I think there is a very good chance we lose Garza.
Yeah I agree Garza and JW aren't on some kind of track to be lottery picks in the NBA be it after this yr or next. I would be shocked at that if they do. 2nd rounders sure I could get down with that. But even still there's only 60 picks out of the thousands of kids all over the WORLD not just the good ole USA anymore trying to get taken. And I say thousands not millions because obviously there's a realistic side of this to it. Some kids are drafted on future potential and stashed. Others are taken to hopefully contribute with everything inbetween. So far most kids are coming from college ball here still. But more and more are being taken from all over and I think the one and done rule will be toast again allowing HS kids to make the jump soon. The dynamics of it all is interesting no doubt about it.Sure hope he's back next year.
This whole discussion is a good snapshot of the complicated nature of modern college basketball. It sure makes you wonder - what is the "best" model for a college program today? The short answer is that it depends on the program. Iowa is not Kentucky. But we still want to target high level recruits and be as "talented" as we can. What I'm getting at is that programs like Iowa need to work incredibly hard at optimizing their rosters in this climate of players leaving early for the NBA. I love this Iowa team because they seem to be playing well together and working hard. Their talent level is strong, but none of these guys jump off the page as "he's gone for the NBA next year" guys. Garza and Wieskamp obviously will get NBA looks and are 100% pro players that will make money somewhere. But I don't think it's honest to say Wieskamp can or will leave for the NBA after his sophomore year. He's good. He's not that good (yet).
Cool article from this week in the Star Tribune - provides an interesting look at how early departures have impacted the Big10:
http://www.startribune.com/amir-cof...ba-hurting-big-ten-s-overall-depth/565955621/
Never too late to change your mind Xavier. We can make it work.
If he projects as a first round pick, he has to go. There is too much risk of either getting injured, or even the hype cooling around him. You have to take the money when it is available.
My college memories are great, but like nearly everyone, I would be willing to trade away a years worth for a million or more.
Tim Duncan was a top 10 pick but came back as a 5th year senior. That worked out well. And before anyone says it I’m not suggesting Garza is Duncan. Does anyone know why he came back. I don’t recall.Well sure. But what if there was a 99.9% chance you could have both? Would you trade that year out of fear of the .1% chance you would lose out on the money?
Tim Duncan was a top 10 pick but came back as a 5th year senior. That worked out well. And before anyone says it I’m not suggesting Garza is Duncan. Does anyone know why he came back. I don’t recall.
Sorry, but your percentages are way off. There is a much better than 1% chance that a player is not as hot a prospect after another year of college. There is the possibility of injury, there is also the chance that the current hype surrounding a kid like Garza just dissipates, You also have to consider the time value of money. If you are able to stash away a sizable nest egg early in your career, it is not a trivial difference even in one year of compounded interest. I used to think like you, but I have seen kids stay in school and never make a big payday in the league that they could have if they left early. Grab that cash with both hands and make a stack.Well sure. But what if there was a 99.9% chance you could have both? Would you trade that year out of fear of the .1% chance you would lose out on the money?
Sorry, but your percentages are way off. There is a much better than 1% chance that a player is not as hot a prospect after another year of college. There is the possibility of injury, there is also the chance that the current hype surrounding a kid like Garza just dissipates, You also have to consider the time value of money. If you are able to stash away a sizable nest egg early in your career, it is not a trivial difference even in one year of compounded interest. I used to think like you, but I have seen kids stay in school and never make a big payday in the league that they could have if they left early. Grab that cash with both hands and make a stack.
Tim Duncan was a top 10 pick but came back as a 5th year senior. That worked out well. And before anyone says it I’m not suggesting Garza is Duncan. Does anyone know why he came back. I don’t recall.