Iowa is playing closely to a bubble team, like most of us either thought or thought wasn't possible. That's who they are. I don't believe this team is poised for some big run but I also have thought previous teams were "poised for a run" that got bounced in the 1st round. The fact is, it's not something you can really project. Teams get hot, teams get cold, ya don't know if that is going to happen as a 8 seed or a 5 seed.
Iowa won 9 of 12 games to get to this place, now has dropped 2 on the road. My guess is they win their games at home, lose their games on the road, get 7/8/9 and then - who knows? No one knows. The team is too inconsistent to expect much more than a round 1 win, but again, other teams have been poised and don't do shit. They also could get in a game where they nail 10+ threes and can't miss.
That's why all I've ever asked is get us to the dance, the rest will work itself out and a lot of that has to do with draw, matchups and circumstances.