Iowa MBB @ Minnesota Preview/Prediction | Hawkeye Nation
Game Info
Iowa (10-20, 4-13) at Minnesota (17-12, 8-9)
RPI: Iowa 193, Minnesota77
POMEROY: Iowa 151, Minnesota 40
March 7, 2010 • 5:06 p.m.
Minneapolis, MN • Williams Arena
TV: BTN (HD) • Live Stats: hawkeyesports.com • Satellite Radio: XM 143, Sirius 122
Series Record: Minnesota leads 97-88 (Last Meeting, Minnesota, 86-74, Jan. 2, 2010)
Probable Starting Lineups
Iowa
Pos. No. Name Ht. Wt. Yr. Statistical Summary
G 3 Cully Payne 6-1 190 Fr. 8.3 ppg, 3.0 rpg, 3.8 apg, .355 FG%, .627 FT%
G 5 Matt Gatens 6-5 215 So. 12.5 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 3.3 apg, .373 FG%, .827 FT%
F 25 Eric May 6-5 225 Fr. 9.1 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.1 spg, .407 FG%, .667 FT%
F 24 Aaron Fuller 6-6 230 So. 9.5 ppg, 6.0 rpg, 0.7 apg, .472 FG%, .683 FT%
C 50 Jarryd Cole 6-7 250 Jr. 8.2 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 0.5 apg, .573 FG%, .640 FT%
Minnesota
Pos. No. Name Ht. Wt. Yr. Statistical Summary
G 5 Devoe Joseph 6-3 179 So. 8.7 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 3.0 apg, .381 FG%, .672 FT%
G 20 Lawrence Westbrook 6-0 193 Sr. 12.6 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 2.2 apg, .478 FG%, .839 FT%
G 24 Blake Hoffarber 6-4 210 Jr. 10.8 ppg, 3.7 rpg, 1.9 apg, .510 FG%, .833 FT%
F 34 Damian Johnson 6-7 205 Sr. 10.3 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.9 bpg, .538 FG%, .733 FT%
C 50 Ralph Sampson III 6-11 241 So. 8.7 ppg, 6.3 rpg, 1.8 bpg, .530 FG%, .641 FT%
VanLaere Notes
No VLOG for this game.
No Live Chat for this game, but here’s the
GAME THREAD.
Call it the luck of the draw, but Iowa gets to finish the season with back-to-back roadies, both being Senior Nights for the opposing team. Tonight, the Gopher fans with bid adieu to three seniors – Westbrook, Johnson, and Bostick. If the Gophers’ on-court intensity wasn’t enough for the Hawkeyes to handle, they will now have to deal with that element, as well.
Last time these two teams faced off back in January, the game was decided well within the first five minutes of the game. After Gatens’ bucket under the basket just 90 seconds into the game to put the score 3-2 in favor of the Gophers, Iowa succumbed to Tubby’s pressure D. The Hawkeyes went on a 5 for 5 run, by that I mean Iowa turned the ball over five straight possessions. The Gophers got up by double-digits and never looked back. Don’t expect Minnesota to dial down the pressure in the rematch, either. And while I highly, highly doubt we will see Blake Hoffarbor do what he did against Iowa again (I recall he made about 35 three pointers and ended up with something like 105 points in that game), the Hawkeyes didn’t have to guard Ralph Sampson’s boy either.
Some folks look at the Gophers and say they are tanking it, going 5-5 in their last 10 games, after seemingly having an NCAA Tournament bid in hand. The thing is, besides the blowout loss in Ann Arbor, Minnesota has been alright. They’ve beat Wisconsin and Illinois in that span, and lost to Purdue by a single point at home. Seeing where their Pomeroy and RPI ratings are right now, if they can get to the Big Ten Championship game, they would most definitely be back on the bubble and could possibly sneak in with a 21-13 record and an RPI around 50ish. If anything, I see this game as a fork in the road for the Gophers, either they mail it in and end up in a lower postseason tourney or they get going, make a run, and get back on the bubble.
PLAYERS TO WATCH FOR:
Blake Hoffarbor. During the game back in Carver, Iowa thought it’d be ok to leave a nearly 50% 3 point shooter open. Time and time again, Hoffarbor had open looks from downtown and put 8 of those 11 three pointers in the hole. I don’t see that happening again, I would hope the coaching staff would make adjustments… however, he’s still a guy to watch at all times.
Iverson/Sampson. I was unimpressed with Colton the last time these two played, but with Sampson also on the court Minnesota is a big more potent down low. Both these guys are widely inconsistent on the offensive side of the court, but they bring a terrific inside presence on the defensive side of the court.
Westbrook. For a guy that can go off at any point during a game, Lawrence doesn’t do it enough for Minnesota. With this being his last game in The Barn, I expect a huge game from Westbrook, especially on the defensive end.
KEYS TO THE GAME:
- SHOOT THREES, MAKE THREES. Although Fuller is resourceful down low, we saw last game vs. Wisconsin what happens when Aaron has to go up against a couple trees in the paint. Iowa will have no choice in this game but to jack up a ton of treys, and they will need to be hitting them.
- PLAY UNDER CONTROL. Minnesota is going to be inside the jocks of the Hawkeye players. Iowa’s inexperienced team cannot let this pressure get the best of them, especially on the road on Senior Night.
- GET THE BOARDS AND 2ND CHANCE POINTS. Iowa will be limited in possessions more than they normally are, as I project them to have at least 16-18 turnovers in this game. Therefore, Iowa has to hit the boards with a purpose, they’ll need as many extra possessions as they can get.
PREDICTION: Minnesota has been underwhelming this year, with Iowa falling into that same category, as well. The full court pressure from the experienced backcourt of the Gophers should and will reek havoc on the Hawkeyes. Turnovers will give Minnesota extra possessions, fast breaks, and a lot of momentum in this one.
Iowa 51, Minnesota 67