tiggerhawk
Well-Known Member
Depends upon whether you are talking about the NCAA tournament or just the BTT.Based on who you think will go farther in the tournament give me your rankings for the top 5 teams in the Big Ten
I will go with:
1) Michigan State
2) Ohio State
3) Purdue
4) Wisky
5) Illinois (out in 1st round)
The top 3 was really a tough call for me. If Lucas is healthy i think MSU will be a tough out. OSU could go out early or make the elite 8 depending on how they shoot.
Why ignore the lessons of history? Michigan State will go the furthest in the NCAAs, most likely Final Four again. Ohioo State should make it to the regional finals, but they have a past of under-achieving. On the other hand, Bo Ryan will have Wiskys going a couple of rounds further than the Wisky talent justifies (helped by a pair of excellent guards) This last point goes to one of the two reasons why Purdue won't make much of a show--college post-season is when guard play is the critical difference, and Purdue's back court falls short--plus the fact that the team is too small, only one big man, Johnson, who can be a factor inside on the boards. Nice when a 6-8 guy can shoot from outside as well as Hummel, but that still leaves the problem that Johnson is the only guy who can defende inside and rebound.
I can't figure out what other BT team makes the field, though as weak as the PAC-10 and SEC are, only two teams in the Big 12 at all impressive,and a down year for the ACC there is plenty of room in the field for mediocrities like Minnie, Illinois, Michigan. It would be a nice gesture if NW was finally given a bid--especially since they are one of the top 65 programs this season and are as credible as Illinois or Minnesota. My guess is that Michigan is the fifth BT school in the field, basically by virtue of OOC wins (And because they may be the fifth best BT team anyway).
In the BT tournament I expect Illinois to be the 5th team...which will not be a good thing for them. As the #5 seed they are going to have to play their one & out game against either NW or Mich, and the pathetic Illinois inside defense can't stop Sims & Harris, and the Illini can't play smart enough to beat NW. The defeat, which will be the 11th or 12th of the season, likely keeps Illinois out of the NCAA field given its poor RPI and SOS.