Oregon 6.5 point favorite

HawkeyeHypnosis

HawkeyeHypnosis

Well-Known Member
hawkeyeswire.usatoday.com

FanDuel unveils betting odds for Iowa football vs. Oregon

Iowa is enjoying a bye week before a massive showdown against No. 6 Oregon. FanDuel released its initial odds for the Week 11 showdown.
hawkeyeswire.usatoday.com

Lower than I expected. From article:

As anticipation for the matchup builds, opening betting odds for the contest have been released by FanDuel. Oregon is a 6.5-point favorite over Iowa, the over-under total is set at 42.5 points and Oregon is a -260 money line favorite.
 


HawkeyeHypnosis said:
hawkeyeswire.usatoday.com

FanDuel unveils betting odds for Iowa football vs. Oregon

Iowa is enjoying a bye week before a massive showdown against No. 6 Oregon. FanDuel released its initial odds for the Week 11 showdown.
hawkeyeswire.usatoday.com

Lower than I expected. From article:

As anticipation for the matchup builds, opening betting odds for the contest have been released by FanDuel. Oregon is a 6.5-point favorite over Iowa, the over-under total is set at 42.5 points and Oregon is a -260 money line favorite.
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I forgot they're on a bye week too.

Sounds about right to me. I'm going into next weekend expecting to lose, hoping for a close game, and will be pleasantly surprised with a win.

The lines will probably change depending on what money comes in but of the three lines I'm taking the under all day long.
 




ICHawk24 said:
The line is about what I expected.

The O/U is pretty low. Oregon has averaged 41 points per game.
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6.5 feels about right. Less than a touchdown.
The final result against Indiana was less than a touchdown. I think the Hawks have a chance, at least even...of winning. Not likely, but they'll have to play the game for us to find out.

But then there's that whole streak thing of teams not named Rutgers being able to score 20 or 25 points....against an Iowa defense averaging under 20 a game for the last near decade....

Statistically and with recent history, awfully hard to get to 42.5 points with and against Iowa if you only score 25 and plan on winning. I think a lot of smart gamblers made a lot of money these last many years taking the under. The ones who didn't routinely fall for "this is the game where the high powered air raid offense just runs it up on Iowa, they've set the over so low I'm taking it. Easy money". If you caved to that thought, way more often than not, you lost money.

Edit: I didn't see the under.
 
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Now, I know some of this has to do with what can often be called a 'lumbering' offense.
But again, as much credit as we give Phil Parker...we do not give him enough.

average points per game allowed by Iowa:
2016 18.8
2017 19.9
2018 17.0
2019 14.0
2020 16.0
2021 19.2
2022 13.3
2023 14.8
2024 17.8
2025 13.1

If nothing else about Kirk Ferentz, he has to be a massive reason why we have been able to keep Phil Parker. You cannot tell me Parker's phone hasn't rung many times with not insignificant offers and promises.

They're an awfully good combo, that lumbering offense and 'hangry', disciplined defense.
 


ICHawk24 said:
The line is about what I expected.

The O/U is pretty low. Oregon has averaged 41 points per game.
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WTF are you talking about?

There are 136 FBS teams and Iowa is:

2nd in YDS/G allowed
8th in passing YDS/G allowed
4th in rushing YDS/G allowed
5th in PPG allowed

Iowa is also the least penalized team in all of college football on both offense and defense. As in #1 out of 136.

Now I know very well we could get blown out when they come to town, but if you're Vegas, what earthly reason would there be to set the O/U higher than it already is? Me personally, I think it's too high already.

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That line is going to draw day betters in for Iowa and its going to drop the line. Iowa has a good shot at an outright win, but a close loss is also likely given Iowa's history. It will be interesting to see if the smart money jumps in at the end if the line holds near where it is.
 


Also this:

Yeah, Oregon scores a lot of points and they average a lot of PPG. Here's why, lolz...

Oregon points scored this season against...

Montana State (FCS) - 59
OK State (1-7 record) - 69
Oregon State (1-7 record) - 41
Rutgers (4-4 record) - 56
---------------------------------------------------------
NW (5-3 record) - 34
PSU (3-4 record) - 30
Indiana (8-0 record) - 20
Wisconsin LOL (2-6 record) 21

Doesn't take a rocket surgery degree to see why their PPG is so high.
 


NorthKCHawk said:
That line is going to draw day betters in for Iowa and its going to drop the line. Iowa has a good shot at an outright win, but a close loss is also likely given Iowa's history. It will be interesting to see if the smart money jumps in at the end if the line holds near where it is.
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I have a system that has profited me a little over $900 a year for the last three years and is (almost) bulletproof. Yes, I'm serious. I started back in May of '23 and it's hilarious, my friends make fun of me constantly for it. It's a pain in the ass because it's such small amounts every day, but it works.

Is it big money? Absolutely not. Does it pay for my gas money all year driving back and forth to work? Yep.
 


Fryowa said:
I have a system that has profited me a little over $900 a year for the last three years and is (almost) bulletproof. Yes, I'm serious. I started back in May of '23 and it's hilarious, my friends make fun of me constantly for it. It's a pain in the ass because it's such small amounts every day, but it works.

Is it big money? Absolutely not. Does it pay for my gas money all year driving back and forth to work? Yep.
Click to expand...
I used to donate plasma twice a week for beer money all the way through law school. $80 a week. Paid for my weekend (beer was cheaper back then). A system is a system. Keep it rolling.

I guess you are not sharing the system here? :)
 




NorthKCHawk said:
I used to donate plasma twice a week for beer money all the way through law school. $80 a week. Paid for my weekend (beer was cheaper back then). A system is a system. Keep it rolling.

I guess you are not sharing the system here? :)
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You bet your ass I'll share.

I started with $20 believe it or not.

Pretty much every day during the baseball season (sometimes every day, sometimes maybe 5 days or something if I get lazy and forget) I put $15 down on a 6 game parlay for "NO EXTRA INNINGS." Twice a week I tack on a shoe-in strikeout count for a pitcher and that boosts it. Like if Yamamoto is starting for the Dodgers I tack on "3 OR MORE STRIKEOUTS." I lose very rarely and only net a few bucks, but it's been solid gold. I never go more than $15 which is less than the amount I started with. I think I've been burned on the extra innings thing like 7 times total in the whole span since I started.
 




Fryowa said:
Also this:

Yeah, Oregon scores a lot of points and they average a lot of PPG. Here's why, lolz...

Oregon points scored this season against...

Montana State (FCS) - 59
OK State (1-7 record) - 69
Oregon State (1-7 record) - 41
Rutgers (4-4 record) - 56
---------------------------------------------------------
NW (5-3 record) - 34
PSU (3-4 record) - 30
Indiana (8-0 record) - 20
Wisconsin LOL (2-6 record) 21

Doesn't take a rocket surgery degree to see why their PPG is so high.
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Also they don’t pull off the reins when they get a big lead.
 


Hell, we gave away the Indy game. They only had 13 pts until that last debacle TD. And they're blowing people away also.

I think Iowa puts a defensive lock-hold on the Ducks and they won't have an answer.
 


Fryowa said:
Also this:

Yeah, Oregon scores a lot of points and they average a lot of PPG. Here's why, lolz...

Oregon points scored this season against...

Montana State (FCS) - 59
OK State (1-7 record) - 69
Oregon State (1-7 record) - 41
Rutgers (4-4 record) - 56
---------------------------------------------------------
NW (5-3 record) - 34
PSU (3-4 record) - 30
Indiana (8-0 record) - 20
Wisconsin LOL (2-6 record) 21

Doesn't take a rocket surgery degree to see why their PPG is so high.
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Now do our defense.
 




Seth53 said:
Hell, we gave away the Indy game. They only had 13 pts until that last debacle TD. And they're blowing people away also.

I think Iowa puts a defensive lock-hold on the Ducks and they won't have an answer.
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We all know what usually happens when we think we know what’s going to happen ;)
 


Fryowa said:
Iowa points allowed this season against...

Albany (FCS) - 7
ISU (5-3 record) - 16
UMASS (0-8 record) - 7
Rutgers (4-4 record) - 28
Indiana (8-0 record) - 20
Wisconsin (2-6 record) - 0
PSU (3-4 record) - 24
Minnesota (5-3 record) - 3
Click to expand...
I was a bit surprised Rutgers hasn’t had a bit better of a season.
 




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