Oregon 6.5 point favorite

[HawkeyeHypnosis]

FanDuel unveils betting odds for Iowa football vs. Oregon

Iowa is enjoying a bye week before a massive showdown against No. 6 Oregon. FanDuel released its initial odds for the Week 11 showdown.

hawkeyeswire.usatoday.com

Lower than I expected. From article:

As anticipation for the matchup builds, opening betting odds for the contest have been released by FanDuel. Oregon is a 6.5-point favorite over Iowa, the over-under total is set at 42.5 points and Oregon is a -260 money line favorite.

 

[Fryowa]

FanDuel unveils betting odds for Iowa football vs. Oregon

Iowa is enjoying a bye week before a massive showdown against No. 6 Oregon. FanDuel released its initial odds for the Week 11 showdown.

hawkeyeswire.usatoday.com

Lower than I expected. From article:

As anticipation for the matchup builds, opening betting odds for the contest have been released by FanDuel. Oregon is a 6.5-point favorite over Iowa, the over-under total is set at 42.5 points and Oregon is a -260 money line favorite.

I forgot they're on a bye week too.

Sounds about right to me. I'm going into next weekend expecting to lose, hoping for a close game, and will be pleasantly surprised with a win.

The lines will probably change depending on what money comes in but of the three lines I'm taking the under all day long.

 

[ICHawk24]

The line is about what I expected.

The O/U is pretty low. Oregon has averaged 41 points per game.

 

[dagdaj]

The line is about what I expected.

The O/U is pretty low. Oregon has averaged 41 points per game.

6.5 feels about right. Less than a touchdown.
The final result against Indiana was less than a touchdown. I think the Hawks have a chance, at least even...of winning. Not likely, but they'll have to play the game for us to find out.

But then there's that whole streak thing of teams not named Rutgers being able to score 20 or 25 points....against an Iowa defense averaging under 20 a game for the last near decade....

Statistically and with recent history, awfully hard to get to 42.5 points with and against Iowa if you only score 25 and plan on winning. I think a lot of smart gamblers made a lot of money these last many years taking the under. The ones who didn't routinely fall for "this is the game where the high powered air raid offense just runs it up on Iowa, they've set the over so low I'm taking it. Easy money". If you caved to that thought, way more often than not, you lost money.

Edit: I didn't see the under.

 

[dagdaj]

Now, I know some of this has to do with what can often be called a 'lumbering' offense.
But again, as much credit as we give Phil Parker...we do not give him enough.

average points per game allowed by Iowa:
2016 18.8
2017 19.9
2018 17.0
2019 14.0
2020 16.0
2021 19.2
2022 13.3
2023 14.8
2024 17.8
2025 13.1

If nothing else about Kirk Ferentz, he has to be a massive reason why we have been able to keep Phil Parker. You cannot tell me Parker's phone hasn't rung many times with not insignificant offers and promises.

They're an awfully good combo, that lumbering offense and 'hangry', disciplined defense.