One lock ND is a FF lock ...

Even if Iowa wins out, including the BTCG, they can't get in. This week's top 4 will be Bama, Clemson, OSU, and LSU. LSU's loss to Bama will be looked at as a favorable loss and the two trends will swap.

Out this week(next 4) will be ND, Baylor, OkSt, Iowa.

When Iowa beats tOSU, in this scenario, LSU moves up and Nd moves in. Neither loses the rest of the year. Iowa jumps B12 undefeated to be at 5 if we're lucky.

I could be wrong, but I think LSU stays in the top 4.

Yep... You could be wrong. Maybe had the LSU/Bama game been a down to the wire type game but LSU got trounced.
 


Even if Iowa wins out, including the BTCG, they can't get in. This week's top 4 will be Bama, Clemson, OSU, and LSU. LSU's loss to Bama will be looked at as a favorable loss and the two trends will swap.

Out this week(next 4) will be ND, Baylor, OkSt, Iowa.

When Iowa beats tOSU, in this scenario, LSU moves up and Nd moves in. Neither loses the rest of the year. Iowa jumps B12 undefeated to be at 5 if we're lucky.

I could be wrong, but I think LSU stays in the top 4.
There is no way LSU stays in the top 4 after that beatdown. And even if they do, there is also very little chance that an SEC team that doesn't win it's own division makes the playoff. The week to week rankings mean nothing. In the end, the committee will choose the 4 teams they want, and then adjust the rankings accordingly - which is exactly what they did to TCU last year.

3 of the top 8 just lost yesterday. There is plenty of football remaining. There will be several more losses by teams ranked higher than Iowa. The madness has just begun. No teams are anywhere close to being locks to make the playoff, yet.
 




Final Four prediction: Clemson, Alabama, Notre Dame, and Iowa. Semi-final: Clemson versus Iowa and Alabama versus Notre Dame.
 


Final Four prediction: Clemson, Alabama, Notre Dame, and Iowa. Semi-final: Clemson versus Iowa and Alabama versus Notre Dame.

That would be flippin awesome. They would probably bump Alabama up to 1 though to try to get an Alabama ND championship.
 




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