RobHowe
Administrator
Odds & Trends: Colorado State at Iowa
- Thread starter RobHowe
- Start date
So the spread is Iowa by about 23 pts and the over/under/total is about 45. So for someone to win both the over/under and a spread bet they would need Iowa to win something like 36-10 or some combination near that.
It is still hard to say Iowa's defense can keep opponents from scoring 14-17 points if Iowa's offense puts them in bad field position with a couple of turnovers. And I think it is still hard to think Iowa's offense scored 5 TDs by themselves with long field drives.
I would take CSU and the points as 23 was the winning spread against Kent and I would take the under with a score of Iowa 30 CSU 13.
It is still hard to say Iowa's defense can keep opponents from scoring 14-17 points if Iowa's offense puts them in bad field position with a couple of turnovers. And I think it is still hard to think Iowa's offense scored 5 TDs by themselves with long field drives.
I would take CSU and the points as 23 was the winning spread against Kent and I would take the under with a score of Iowa 30 CSU 13.
MelroseHawkins
Well-Known Member
Would somebody be inclined to explain what "VI consensus" is? Thanks.
HawkeyeDenis
Well-Known Member
Iowa lacked the intensity of the first two games last week. Which is understandable. Hopefully this week they get the intensity back. Because after this week it's a 8 game grind.
hawkincanada5
Active Member
Its the average spread for the game amongst the vegas sports books, some might have it at 23, 23.5, ect so they just average it to get a general spread
Fryowa
Administrator
Vegas Insider consensus.
What’s insider is a betting info website. Not a sports book, they just compile odds and list them on their website, and you can pay for “expert picks.”
The VI consensus is just the most common lines among all the sports books, hence the “consensus” part. For example if 11 sports books had the spread at 23 but two other books had it listed at 21, 23 would likely be the consensus.
Lotta cooks in that kitchen nowadays. I don't suppose they vary a ton and I'm sure it's pretty eyebrow raising when some do.
AreWeThereYet
Well-Known Member
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trj
Well-Known Member
Does it matter? McBride is their entire passing offense. Thinking about it you could say the same thing about Laporta and Iowa....so nevermind.
I like Iowa to cover vs. Indiana, and they did (bigly).
I thought they would beat the spread vs. ISU and had a good chance of winning outright (they did, bigly).
I wimped out and suggested they wouldn't cover vs. Kent State. I was wrong.
I think Kent St. is substantially better than Colorado State. The spread is about the same. Iowa has been covering these large spreads vs. non-P5 schools pretty consistently lately (2019 Miami-OH and MTSU; 2018 N Ill and UNI; 2017 Wyoming).
The 2017 game vs. North Texas was the last one they failed to cover (23.5 pts, Hawks won 31-14, but it should be noted they lost 7 points on this:
www.youtube.com
And the Hawks are averaging 30 pts/game this year, and over 31 pts/game over their current 9 game winning streak. I just don't see any way they fail to cover this spread. I would take the Hawks and the over.
p.s. - I don't put my money where my mouth is, but you definitely should
I thought they would beat the spread vs. ISU and had a good chance of winning outright (they did, bigly).
I wimped out and suggested they wouldn't cover vs. Kent State. I was wrong.
I think Kent St. is substantially better than Colorado State. The spread is about the same. Iowa has been covering these large spreads vs. non-P5 schools pretty consistently lately (2019 Miami-OH and MTSU; 2018 N Ill and UNI; 2017 Wyoming).
The 2017 game vs. North Texas was the last one they failed to cover (23.5 pts, Hawks won 31-14, but it should be noted they lost 7 points on this:
Akrum Wadley TD Nullified by Unsportsmanlike Conduct Call
Iowa RB Akrum Wadley has his TD called back due to a unsportsmanlike conduct call.
www.youtube.com
And the Hawks are averaging 30 pts/game this year, and over 31 pts/game over their current 9 game winning streak. I just don't see any way they fail to cover this spread. I would take the Hawks and the over.
p.s. - I don't put my money where my mouth is, but you definitely should
I hate that call. What Wadley did is not egregious, let them have some fun!I like Iowa to cover vs. Indiana, and they did (bigly).
I thought they would beat the spread vs. ISU and had a good chance of winning outright (they did, bigly).
I wimped out and suggested they wouldn't cover vs. Kent State. I was wrong.
I think Kent St. is substantially better than Colorado State. The spread is about the same. Iowa has been covering these large spreads vs. non-P5 schools pretty consistently lately (2019 Miami-OH and MTSU; 2018 N Ill and UNI; 2017 Wyoming).
The 2017 game vs. North Texas was the last one they failed to cover (23.5 pts, Hawks won 31-14, but it should be noted they lost 7 points on this:
Akrum Wadley TD Nullified by Unsportsmanlike Conduct Call
Iowa RB Akrum Wadley has his TD called back due to a unsportsmanlike conduct call.
And the Hawks are averaging 30 pts/game this year, and over 31 pts/game over their current 9 game winning streak. I just don't see any way they fail to cover this spread. I would take the Hawks and the over.
p.s. - I don't put my money where my mouth is, but you definitely should
Knight78
Well-Known Member
Does it matter? McBride is their entire passing offense. Thinking about it you could say the same thing about Laporta and Iowa....so nevermind.
True. McBride has more receptions (30) than the next seven receivers combined. But LaPorta has 13 receptions and the next two have a total of 16 receptions. Iowa tends to throw to more receivers, it just seems like LaPorta has a lot more.
AreWeThereYet
Well-Known Member
McBride 47% or receptions.
When was the last time Iowa had one guy with almost half of receptions? That's crazy.
AreWeThereYet
Well-Known Member
Colorado State receptions
Total = 64
McBride TE 30 - 47% of receptions
Wright WR 10 injured (outside receiver) -16 %
Bailey RB 7 (power back)
Scott WR 6
McCullouch WR 3
Six others 2 receptions or less.
Iowa Receptions
Total = 50
LaPorta TE 13 - 26% of receptions
Tracy WR 9
Ragaini WR 7
Goodson RB 6
Jones WR 3
Williams RB 3
Five others with 2 receptions or less
Total = 64
McBride TE 30 - 47% of receptions
Wright WR 10 injured (outside receiver) -16 %
Bailey RB 7 (power back)
Scott WR 6
McCullouch WR 3
Six others 2 receptions or less.
Iowa Receptions
Total = 50
LaPorta TE 13 - 26% of receptions
Tracy WR 9
Ragaini WR 7
Goodson RB 6
Jones WR 3
Williams RB 3
Five others with 2 receptions or less
trj
Well-Known Member
Point well taken. I knew someone would crunch the numbers. It was more of a tongue-in-cheek type post. Nut crunching time Petras has trust in one dude and that was what I was getting at.
hawkdrummer1
Well-Known Member
another referee looking to assert himself... not unlike some of the other ridiculous calls we've seen this year (targeting, the overturned catch by TT last week, etc)
Last edited:
I like Iowa to cover vs. Indiana, and they did (bigly).
I thought they would beat the spread vs. ISU and had a good chance of winning outright (they did, bigly).
I wimped out and suggested they wouldn't cover vs. Kent State. I was wrong.
I think Kent St. is substantially better than Colorado State. The spread is about the same. Iowa has been covering these large spreads vs. non-P5 schools pretty consistently lately (2019 Miami-OH and MTSU; 2018 N Ill and UNI; 2017 Wyoming).
The 2017 game vs. North Texas was the last one they failed to cover (23.5 pts, Hawks won 31-14, but it should be noted they lost 7 points on this:
Akrum Wadley TD Nullified by Unsportsmanlike Conduct Call
Iowa RB Akrum Wadley has his TD called back due to a unsportsmanlike conduct call.
And the Hawks are averaging 30 pts/game this year, and over 31 pts/game over their current 9 game winning streak. I just don't see any way they fail to cover this spread. I would take the Hawks and the over.
p.s. - I don't put my money where my mouth is, but you definitely should
See, I told ya.
