New Conference Win Predictions
- Thread starter DJL
- Start date
HawkAssassin
Well-Known Member
Last year it was pretty easy to predict when we would lose. We couldn't create enough space due to poor shooting when teams got in our face defensively. It didn't matter if it was UNI, Penn St, or whomever.
It's trickier this year to find teams that I think Iowa will lose to because I just don't see a big glaring weakness like last year. We might be one more good big man/rebounder short right now but Wagner certainly seems capable and could improve in the next two months. Rebounding except for one stretch against MSU at home hasn't even really been a huge issue so far.
Some issues will pop up soon enough, but I think this team has a lot of things on both ends of the floor that make me excited for the next 3 months.
It's trickier this year to find teams that I think Iowa will lose to because I just don't see a big glaring weakness like last year. We might be one more good big man/rebounder short right now but Wagner certainly seems capable and could improve in the next two months. Rebounding except for one stretch against MSU at home hasn't even really been a huge issue so far.
Some issues will pop up soon enough, but I think this team has a lot of things on both ends of the floor that make me excited for the next 3 months.
FirstDownHawkeyes
Well-Known Member
I'll go w KenPom and say 15-3.
WindsorHawk
Well-Known Member
But iowa's remaining 13 games are collectively easier than the first 5. Indiana's remaining 12 games are collectively tougher than their first 6. I give Iowa the advantage.
I think the Iowa vs Indiana game could be huge in terms of what it means to the BIG title.
*games
BrueCrew3
Well-Known Member
I’m taking a somewhat pessimistic view here, but here’s my take on the rest of the schedule:
@Rut – Win
vPur – Tossup
@Mar – Loss
vNW – W
vPSU – W
@Ill – T
@Ind – L
vMin – W
@PSU – T
vWis – W
@OSU – T
vInd – W
@Mich – T
Note: all road games are tossups/losses just because the home team can have a decided advantage.
That’s 6 wins, 5 tossups, and 2 losses. Assuming we lose one we shouldn’t, go 2-3 in the tossups, that gives a record of 12-6. In my mind that would give us a 2/3 seed in the B1G tourny and 3/4 seed in the dance. Again .. that’s a pessimistic view.
Realistically, I believe Iowa should win all their remaining home games and at worst go 3-4 on the road for a 14-4 record. That should garner at worst a 2 seed in the B1G tourny and a 3 seed (possibly as high as 2) in the dance.
My optimistic view? I could see 16-2. That should get Iowa the regular season B1G championship and at worst a 2 seed for the dance.
@Rut – Win
vPur – Tossup
@Mar – Loss
vNW – W
vPSU – W
@Ill – T
@Ind – L
vMin – W
@PSU – T
vWis – W
@OSU – T
vInd – W
@Mich – T
Note: all road games are tossups/losses just because the home team can have a decided advantage.
That’s 6 wins, 5 tossups, and 2 losses. Assuming we lose one we shouldn’t, go 2-3 in the tossups, that gives a record of 12-6. In my mind that would give us a 2/3 seed in the B1G tourny and 3/4 seed in the dance. Again .. that’s a pessimistic view.
Realistically, I believe Iowa should win all their remaining home games and at worst go 3-4 on the road for a 14-4 record. That should garner at worst a 2 seed in the B1G tourny and a 3 seed (possibly as high as 2) in the dance.
My optimistic view? I could see 16-2. That should get Iowa the regular season B1G championship and at worst a 2 seed for the dance.
deanvogs
Well-Known Member
So you are saying Iowa will finish anywhere from 12-6 to 16-2. Pretty tough stance there, you should run for President with that kind of backbone.
BrueCrew3
Well-Known Member
I know .. I'm a Libran. Realistically I'm going with 14-4, but hoping for 16-2.So you are saying Iowa will finish anywhere from 12-6 to 16-2. Pretty tough stance there, you should run for President with that kind of backbone.
GO HAWKS!!!
deanvogs
Well-Known Member
ssckelley
Well-Known Member
Road games are always tough to predict no matter who the opponent is and Iowa is bound to have off nights. But to start 5-0 against the toughest part of the schedule and then finish 12-6 would be a disappointment, that means they finish the season 7-6 and I don't think that would get them a high seed in the tournament. A Fran led team has been here before, just a couple of years ago Iowa got off to a hot start and then collapsed down the stretch and ended up being one of the last teams in the tournament. All the seniors were part of that team so I hope the coaches and the seniors can avoid that collapse this year.
There are no games this year at should be put in the L column. Those games are both toss ups. At Illinois is far from a toss up too. They are horrendous.
tm3308
Well-Known Member
15-3 (@Maryland, split @IU/Illinois, @Michigan if LeVert is back at 100%). Maryland feels like more of a tossup to me, though. They really seem to be have the same glazed over look in their eyes that Ohio State had for most of the football season. That's going to bite them in the *** against Iowa or MSU.
StatelineHawk
Well-Known Member
Last night proves how anything can happen. Xavier loses to Gtown, Kansas to Okie St. and Pitt to NC St. All really good teams to pretty bad teams or at least below average.