Lunardi Says.....

tm3308 said:
The Big 12 isn't Pac bad, but it's not good, either.

Besides, I was under the impression that all the bracketology stuff was under the guise that if the season ended today, these are the teams predicted to get in?
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Which is 6 teams, I would be surprised if Big 12 got 6 but 4 seems like a minimum.
 
hawkfan33 said:
Signed,

2012 Washington, Oregon and Arizona
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The Big 12 might be bad but they are not THAT bad. Washington, who was the regular season champ had an RPI into the 50s and I think the entire conference had like 2 wins against the other power conferences.
 
Clowns said:
Which is 6 teams, I would be surprised if Big 12 got 6 but 4 seems like a minimum.
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But that's the point. If this is based on who would get in right now, it's based on what teams have done to this point. Iowa State, nor Iowa for that matter, has done anything to this point to impress like that. Seriously, Iowa State's biggest "win" to this point is a close loss at Kansas.

But, this all goes to show what we already know. These predictions carry no weight or credibility.
 
Before our loss today, Kenpom had us at 28th (when the hell is the last time we were that high). If you consider the fact that there are 37 at large bids that's means....nothing at all but still, I find **** like that interesting.
 
blubberhawk said:
You do make a good point, there.
ISU's best win is over a BYU team that is quite frankly, not any good. ISU conference record is 3-1. The combined conference record of the 3 teams they have beaten is 1-13.
BYU doesn't have anything close to a good win and has gotten their a** handed to them against any decent team they have played.
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Not any good? BYU's RPI is 41. But Wisconsin is a "good win" and their RPI is 51?


Not sure I get the logic there.
 
tm3308 said:
But that's the point. If this is based on who would get in right now, it's based on what teams have done to this point. Iowa State, nor Iowa for that matter, has done anything to this point to impress like that. Seriously, Iowa State's biggest "win" to this point is a close loss at Kansas.

But, this all goes to show what we already know. These predictions carry no weight or credibility.
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Iowa State's biggest win is beating everyone they should, include #41 and #95 at home. Losing on the road to #3, #20, and #63 and on a neutral court to #21 does not put you in a bad light. Protect the home court for the most part and get a few top 100 RPI wins on the road is the recipe. Helps that the Big 12 is down but has a lot of beatable teams in the top 100 and especially the top 50.
 
I've picked up some more hope in the last few days. The selection committee can't leave out of the tournament a 20+ win team that is 6th or 7th in the Big Ten (if they do, they badly need to change their system).
 
Campbell said:
Not any good? BYU's RPI is 41. But Wisconsin is a "good win" and their RPI is 51?


Not sure I get the logic there.
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Look, I get what you are saying, but you and a lot of other people misuse RPI here. It is not built or intended to be anything other than and END of season measurement stick. It is unreliable at this point in the season.
 
It's simple. We have to win @Purdue this weekend and beat Illinois at home. We do that and take care of the easy games, and we are in.

Big 12 isn't good, but it's not Pac 12 bad either (from last year). I think the Big 12 gets 4, maybe 5, but I'd be shocked at 6.
 
6 losses

ESPN RPI rankings

Iowa comes in at 61

0-5 vs RPI top 25 will not do much for your chances.
4-0 vs 26-100 which means VTech has dropped out of the top 100 and is now looking like a bad loss.

Interesting that Iowa has played the 3rd hardest conference schedule behind Minnesota and Dayton. Dayton? Really ESPN?

The resume is not there yet. Had they not let MSU slip away, and been able to pull off the upset of Indiana they would be "in." Gotta protect the home court.
 
Even more hope now. The mild cats have hit three 3's and still have Minnesota on the ropes. Makes me think we can win 12 conference games.
 
I never really thought that a team who lost to us at home by 20 would turn out to be decent.
 
To me 8 is the magic number for the amount of wins Iowa needs to get into the NCAA tournament. There are 13+ games left between conference and BTT and Iowa needs to win at least 8 of them. I think a 10-8 B1G team is a lock but at 9-9 they need to win that first round game, at 8-10 I think they would need to win 2 in the BTT to get in as an at large. Anything worse than that and they probably would need to win the BTT to get in.
 
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