I mainly just think the new guys coming in next year are inexperienced and that there's no way IMO that next year won't be a drop off. Two years from now? We'll see.
I've been watching Iowa basketball long enough (since the mid 1980's) to know that years after we lose a lot of production (like right now), there has traditionally been a fairly sharp drop off.
1989-90: No postseason (BJ, Roy, Ed graduated)
1993-94: No postseason (Earl, Barnes graduated, Kevin Smith left, and Chris Street)
1999-00: No postseason (Settles, Koch, McCausland, etc. were gone)
2006-07: No postseason (Haluska, Horner, Brunner all gone)
2016-17: NIT (Gesell, Woodbury, etc. gone)
One exception I can think of was the 1996-97 team. That team finished 2nd in the Big 10 and took Kentucky to the wire in the 2nd round. That, after losing Millard, Murray, Kingsbury from the year before, and Settles was also supposed to be on that team but had the back injury. That team did also have a guy running the point who led the conference in scoring and assists, yet somehow didn't win B10 POY, and we won't have anyone like that at PG unless someone really emerges... Woolridge was a senior, though.
This all assumes Wieskamp is gone, and if he returns this changes my narrative, but we are presumably losing Garza, Bohannon, and Nunge for sure. Anyone else?
If Robbins joins us and JW comes back - I can see NCAA tournament. We'll just have to see how it shakes out. The roster is hardly set. I just expect next year to be a rebuild type year due to general inexperience and how these types of things have gone in the past.