Iowa has a very real shot to finish 7th in what has been widely publicized as the best basketball conference in America. This is a very significant stat, especially given that the B10 is almost a lock to take 6 teams dancing. There is ZERO chance the NIT doesn’t select AT LEAST one B10 team, and the team sitting in 7th place has got to feel pretty good about their chances. Let’s look at what needs to happen for Iowa to finish 7th.
First things first Iowa MUST take care of business to close out the season. Thankfully the schedule sets up very nicely to do that. We are currently 14-13 (6-8). We have four remaining games, Wisky (who we’ve beaten once), free falling Illannoy, Nebraska, and NW. I think Iowa has a very good shot to split those four and finish 16-15 (8-10) and in 7th place in the B10. That with a solid B10 tournament (winning one game minimum) MIGHT be enough to get the Hawks into a legitimate post season tournament. What about the other B10 teams competing with Iowa for that NIT bid?
On paper Minnesota looks like it’s a clear favorite over Iowa as they are currently 18-13 on the year. However when you take a deeper look they have some real problems. First and foremost is their current 5-9 league record. Second is their upcoming schedule. They play MSU, Indiana, Wisc, and Nebraska. Granted they get MSU and Indiana at home, but it’s not unrealistic to think they go 1-3 over that stretch. If that happens I can’t see the NIT taking Minnesota and their 6-12 B10 record over Iowa even if they have 19 wins..
Illannoys problem is similar to Minnesota’s. They are currently 16-11 overall but just 5-9 in the league. That 16-11 looks pretty good, but they finish with games @ OSU and @ WIsc, and games at home versus scUM and Iowa. To me that also looks like 1-3, and with the way they have been playing 0-4 isn’t out of the question. Again I see no way the NIT takes Ill at 17-14 (6-12) over a 16-15 (8-10) Iowa team.
The long and short is if Iowa can manage one win against the three game stretch versus Wisky, Ill, and Nebby, then the season finale at Carver might just be for the Hawkeyes first post season birth bince that guy with great hair was here.