Iowa Still Has A Shot at At Large Bid

Winning at WI probably pushes the RPI around 70-75. Still no good. Penn St does nothing for us, but must win. 1st Rd BTT also does nothing, but must win. 2nd Rd would be a good RPI boost, getting us to 60ish maybe a bit better. Way borderline. A semi final win gets us to around 50 and that would look pretty good, as well as 7 game win streak.
 
I remember the year Iowa won the BTT. The talking heads were discussing where Iowa was on the bubble. Could they lose the championship game and still make it? Iowa eliminated the speculation by winning the BTT. I like this scenario the best...eliminates all butterflies. I also believe this is doable.

Edit - I should add I do like the fact that there is a path without winning the BTT...agree that there is one. This will make the WI game all the more stressful. Also, it's always nice to have a winning conference record IMO.
 
Why not end 2-0 after yesterday.... Iowa could = scariest team going into the B1G.....Maybe? We just don't know.....game plan is to make Zach Showalter look even uglier than a red headed step child (no offense to red heads) other than the step children
 
I know the conventional wisdom is that the BT is down this year. Could be. But, it is hard to tell when the top to bottom parity is what it is. I got the impression that many of the upsets were not really upsets at all. The top teams are the ones that were predicted to be at the top, by and large. However, those top teams got beat by some unusual suspects. I guess we will find out when the NCAA's roll around and there will be a few BT teams in the dance.

Also, it seems to me that injuries were really an issue this year for a large number of BT teams. Maybe that is true every year, but seems to me it was over the top this time around.

I can see Purdue, WI, Maryland, MSU, MN, Mich, NW, hitting a hot streak in the BT and NCAA tournaments. But, Iowa and a couple of others could knock off the above as well.

Love this crazy year! Who would have thought that we would beat Iowa State (who will likely be 2nd in the Big Twelve), Purdue, who will win the BT, Maryland, a top team on the road, Michigan, who has turned out to be a pretty tough team, MN, a game that was stolen from us. Biggest flop? Lost two to Illinois.

Sorry to ramble on, but this has been a very interesting year.
 
Historically, Iowa is 15-17 all time in the B1G, and Frany is 2-6, including three consecutive first game losses. Hmmmm.
 
I don't give up hope until selection Sunday comes and goes and Iowa wasn't listed. I know this season probably doesn't warrant a ticket to dance, but seasons like this are all part of the journey. Adversity is good for young teams but I would LOVE LOVE LOVE any way to sneak in.
 
Seth53 said:
Historically, Iowa is 15-17 all time in the B1G, and Frany is 2-6, including three consecutive first game losses. Hmmmm.
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That really shows that Fran is bad at coaching Big 10 tournaments and Alford was good at coaching them. I'm not sure how a coach could somehow coach better or worse just for a tournament, but the stats show it so that has to be it.
 
I'm not going to get upset at the blown call at Minnesota unless we beat Wiscy and PSU, win a couple of games in the BTT and then not quite make the play-in game. We lose one of our next four, it's not going to matter what happened with the zebras in Minnesota.

Also, The B1G is weak this year and 11-12 teams probably think they have a realistic chance to win the BTT, including Iowa. And they'd be right.
 
At Large would be secured if Iowa were in Big XII --- be tied for 2nd with a game left




:D
 
PCHawk said:
That really shows that Fran is bad at coaching Big 10 tournaments and Alford was good at coaching them. I'm not sure how a coach could somehow coach better or worse just for a tournament, but the stats show it so that has to be it.
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Good thing my sarcasm buzzer is not malfunctioning.
;)
 
I ran the RPI Wizard assuming Iowa plays Illinois and Purdue, just beating Illinois would put our RPI at 68. Close enough to probably get on the bubble but I think they would still be out. When I change the results to beating Purdue and losing in the semi's to a team like Maryland would put the RPI at 59. I think that would get Iowa pretty close to being in, a 10-8 conference record and 20-14 over all with a 6 game winning streak at the end would look good to the committee.
 
It takes a higher rank than 68 to be on the bubble. I don't believe an at-large lower than 56 has ever made the tourney. As a general rule, you want to be in the 40's to be on the bubble.
 
guffus said:
It takes a higher rank than 68 to be on the bubble. I don't believe an at-large lower than 56 has ever made the tourney. As a general rule, you want to be in the 40's to be on the bubble.
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Lowest RPI to get an at-large bid:
• 67 - USC (2011)
• 64 - Marquette (2011)
• 63 - North Carolina State (2005), Stanford (2007)

Edit: That was from before last years tournament. As someone pointed out below, Syracuse got in last year with an RPI of 71.
 
From this article, Syracuse made it in the bracket last year with an RPI of 71.

http://www.syracuse.com/axeman/inde...ket_analysts_react_to_orange_in_2016_nca.html

Lunardi, the most noted bracketologist in the business, didn't hold back in his criticism of Syracuse being included on the bracket.

"Further down the bracket, two of the questionable at-large choices -- Vanderbilt (RPI of 61) and Syracuse (RPI of 71) -- won only six of 23 road games combined, including 1-9 against Top 50 teams. That's not counting the eggs they laid in their respective conference tournaments or their aggregate 6-16 record against the field. Even without player (Vandy) or coach (Syracuse) absences, it'd be asking a lot to turn those records into something respectable.
 
ssckelley said:
I ran the RPI Wizard assuming Iowa plays Illinois and Purdue, just beating Illinois would put our RPI at 68. Close enough to probably get on the bubble but I think they would still be out. When I change the results to beating Purdue and losing in the semi's to a team like Maryland would put the RPI at 59. I think that would get Iowa pretty close to being in, a 10-8 conference record and 20-14 over all with a 6 game winning streak at the end would look good to the committee.
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I'm pretty sure its impossible for Iowa to play Illinois in the first game. Their first round opponent with be either Ohio State, Indiana, or Nebraska.
 
USC made it with a 67 RPI in '11. Marquette with a 64 in the same year. NC State was 63 in '05 and Stanford 63 in '07.
 
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