Next one up. We have already seen these guys once, so it will be a familiar foe. However, it was in Iowa City so how do the numbers look when we have to play in College Park?
In Big Ten play:
- Maryland hits 7.3 three's at home and Iowa hits 7 threes per game away.
- Maryland holds their opponents to 3.8 made threes at home, Iowa's away opponents hit 8.3 threes.
- Maryland shoots 31.1% from three at home and 33.1% on the road.
- Iowa shoots 38.8% from three at home and only 25.9% on the road.
- Maryland has shot a greater percentage from three at home than their opponent in all 4 of their games (4-0)
- Iowa has shot better then 2 of their 4 opponents away from three (1-3)
- Maryland has 17.8 FTA per game at home, Iowa has 16 FTA away.
- Maryland's home opponents have 12.8 FTA per game, Iowa's away opponents have 25.8 FTA.
- Maryland has more FTA than 3 of their 4 home opponents (4-0)
- Iowa has less FTA than all 4 of their away opponents (1-3)
- Maryland has commits 11.5 turnovers per game at home, Iowa commits 10 turnovers per game away.
- Maryland's home opponents commit 12.8 turnovers per game, Iowa's away opponents commit 9.3 turnovers per game.
- Maryland gets 37.5 rebounds at home while their opponents get 34.8.
- Iowa gets 38.3 rebounds per game away, while their away opponents get 36.8.
- Maryland gets 10.3 offensive rebounds at home and gives up 12.3.
- Iowa gets 13.3 offensive rebounds on the road and their away opponents get 11.5.
In the first meeting between these two teams:
- Iowa hit 9 three's to Maryland's 4
- Iowa shot 39.1% from three while Maryland shot 18.2%
- Maryland held an advantage in FTA 20-14. However, Iowa held the advantage in made FT's 12-11
- Iowa committed 18 turnovers while Maryland committed 17.
- Iowa held a rebounding advantage of 44-32, and 15-9 on offensive boards.
So what happens here? According to trends, there wont be any major advantage with regards to turnovers. Iowa trends to have an advantage with offensive rebounding. Trends do show that Maryland will have an advantage with free throw attempts, trending toward +10. Maryland trends to hit more three's than Iowa as well by +2. Adding all that up, trends point toward a Maryland 12-15 point victory.
For Iowa to win, assuming that turnovers and rebounding are going to be a wash, Iowa will have to reverse the trend and hold an advantage in FTA's and made three's. Because of pace of play, I will say if Iowa hits 8 threes, 4 per half, and holds Maryland to under 12 FTA's, we will win this game.