Iowa +19.5 today

boy, if gambling were legal i would love iowa to cover that. iowa has exactly one 20+ point loss this year, and that was the fourth game of the year against texas.
 
I think the only way it gets that high is if it is 10-15 points late and Iowa starts forcing stuff and Purdue gets easy buckets, ala Texas game. I think they should be able to hold it closer though, like a 70-58 type game.
 
iahawk20 said:
Well, keep in mind Iowa is 9-15 ATS this year. Not good.
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At first glance, I would say Iowa would definitely cover today..but clearly,as your stat shows, if I went with my heart,I would be much poorer today...so I just gamble in my own brain instead.:)
 
JHHawk said:
At first glance, I would say Iowa would definitely cover today..but clearly,as your stat shows, if I went with my heart,I would be much poorer today...so I just gamble in my own brain instead.:)
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IF i was going to bet I'd take Iowa today. I'd like to think we can stay within 20, especially coming off our best and most complete game of the season.
 
I have no idea what to think. This line is 5 points higher than i thought it would be. Iowa has played well on the road against MSU and OSU. The line is almost too obvious - makes me think it could be a beat down
 
I've got Iowa +19.5 and the over. If we lose by more than 19 it's going to be a high scoring game and I pay the juice. If we lose by less than 20 then it should be low scoring and I pay the juice. Worst case is we get blown out and score less than 50 pts. In that scenario I lose both but I don't see that happening. I would probably weight this bet as this:

30% chance of winning both sides
65% chance of splitting
5% chance of losing both sides
 
I guess with my 15 pt loss prediction they'll cover the spread. There'll be a low enough amount of possessions to keep this thing under 20.

If Iowa can play a full 40 min of GOOD basketball, they can play with Purdue. Very low margin of error... like as minuscule as it comes.
 
Iowa is 6-2 ATS in their last 8.
Under is 8-2 for our last 10 roadies

Purdue is 14-0 at home following a win
Iowa is 0-2 on the road following a win

Iowa is 0-7 when scoring less than 55 pts, Purdue hasn't scored less than 55 all season.

Purdue is best against the spread when scoring between 70-85 pts. I don't see them scoring that many points.

Botton line. I see the final as 71-59 Purdue.
 
hawkeye12345 said:
I've got Iowa +19.5 and the over. If we lose by more than 19 it's going to be a high scoring game and I pay the juice. If we lose by less than 20 then it should be low scoring and I pay the juice. Worst case is we get blown out and score less than 50 pts. In that scenario I lose both but I don't see that happening. I would probably weight this bet as this:

30% chance of winning both sides
65% chance of splitting
5% chance of losing both sides
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Well said. For the parlay'n folks (me) you'll most likely want to roll with Iowa/Under or Purdue/Over. Very, very slim chance of PU cover with Under.
 
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