It's crazy. I'm 100% realistic about Iowa's chances to win the Big Ten title this season. They have to win 4 games in a row, including some tough ones. They need Michigan to knock off Ohio State in Ann Arbor. Then they'd need to beat the Hoosiers. But I see all of those events as a series of coin flips, more or less. Nobody needs to spell out the odds for me of all those coin flips coming up the right way. I get it.
That said, I never, ever thought Kirk would even come this close (on Halloween) to not only playing for, but actually winning a Big Ten title in this 18 team conference. If the path included having to beat Ohio State in Indianapolis, I'd argue it'd be infinitely harder. Like almost impossible. But it doesn't.
I thought the odds of Iowa winning the Big Ten championship games in 2021 or 2023 seemed longer, even once they had already made it to the title game. You had to squint really hard. Iowa would need to knock out the first couple quarterbacks. Get a punt return for a touchdown. Maybe a pick six. Maybe roll out a total surprise wildcat offense for an entire half that scratched out a couple field goals. Maybe a series or two of running option with Labas or Marco. There basically was no path.
2025 is just a bunch of coin flips.