Cover3
Well-Known Member
Woodbury is quoted in an article in another thread as saying they could more than match the seven-game improvement seen between 2010-11 and 2011-12. The Hawks would have definitely won games last March that they did not win in November and December, but how likely is it that they net seven more wins?
I'd put that likelihood at less than ten percent. They seem to be heavily upgrading the talent, but I think the the marginal benefit of the upgrade is going to be small at first. For example, Gesell may be better than Cartwright, but not so much better (yet) that the probable dropoff from Gatens to Oglesby is overcome and exceeded in spades. In a year or two, I think the upgrade will be more complete, but for now, I think a three- or four-win improvement is the most likely; around 19-12 in the regular season.
What does HN think about the chance for 25 wins? Probable? Crazy talk? Somewhere in between?
I'd put that likelihood at less than ten percent. They seem to be heavily upgrading the talent, but I think the the marginal benefit of the upgrade is going to be small at first. For example, Gesell may be better than Cartwright, but not so much better (yet) that the probable dropoff from Gatens to Oglesby is overcome and exceeded in spades. In a year or two, I think the upgrade will be more complete, but for now, I think a three- or four-win improvement is the most likely; around 19-12 in the regular season.
What does HN think about the chance for 25 wins? Probable? Crazy talk? Somewhere in between?