Dotcherman: Ptl review and breakdown

We wont have the defense to hang with the Big boys next year.

That also remains to be seen.

Yeah, Iowa was bad on D last year and the main reasons for that was no perimeter quickness and no height on the inside.

Iowa lost Gatens but they also lost the biggest defensive liability in the conference in Cartwright and Marble guarding the 1 was almost as bad. They will also not have 6'7 Zach McCabe in the middle.

Essentialy 6 new players have been added to the mix all of whom, in one way or another, address the two main weaknesses of last years team, lack of quickness and lack of height.

You also have Eric May, atleast for the moment, healthy, who is capable of being a good defender.

I don't know how good this team will be defensively, but I don't think last years team really has much relevance when predicting how good this years unit will be.
 




Of course you are correct. If only Fran had the wisdom to sign a couple of big men and a pair of defensive specialists....

Alas, oat.....

Yes, I am sure that the difference between the worst defense in the league last year and a defense capable of hanging with Final Four contenders is a couple of freshman and a big man who blocked about 12 shots in high school.

ಠ__ಠ
 






It be nice to see Tom IZZY slam his own chair ,lol After We bodyslam them
:D
We have been bodyslamming them in Iowa City for quite a while, Atomic.....

Even Lick beat them his first year holding them to their lowest score in years, and Fran humiliated them BigTime his first year. I have never seen a team so dejected on the bench when they looked at the score: 72-52. After the game one of the downcast spartans said: I can't believe we lost to IOWA.....

Priceless.....

That is the reason for their gangster tactics last season, Payback, only problem is they shot their wad against the Hawks and lost the next game against northwestern.....

I really do believe they will regret coming to Carver this season.....

Wonder if oat is ab.....

:D
 


Yes, I am sure that the difference between the worst defense in the league last year and a defense capable of hanging with Final Four contenders is a couple of freshman and a big man who blocked about 12 shots in high school.

ಠ__ಠ

You as well as most don't really understand why Iowa was so "bad" of a defensive team last year and prior years.

It really comes down to a couple factors:
1. Getting destroyed on the boards by teams that they couldn't match up against and...
2. Not getting 50/50 balls and that is a combination of things like working hard and finally blocking out, but the taller player tips the ball out, or blocking out and the ball is on the ground and two Iowa players look at each other wondering who is going to get the ball.
3. Zero shot blocking ability.

The one thing that Iowa can do, is matchup against any team size-wise, not athletically yet. However, playing smart, which all indications are that Iowa's freshman do well helps and not giving up garbage tips when one has good position will eliminate some wide, wide, wide open looks other teams have gotten.
I also don't see any player on the Iowa roster who will be hesitant to go after a loose ball...well, maybe a couple, but they will remain anonymous at this point.

If you look at the games Iowa was pounded, they were severely outgunned in the front court. Also, look at the rebounding numbers for that game, Iowa was drilled during those games.

Being a strong defensive rebounding team helps out defensive stats. Think about how many loose balls on rebounding tips Iowa didn't get last year...it was a product a lot of times was a taller Center tipping it away from the combination of Basabe/McCabe.

Having at least one player with a high BB IQ playing the PG position will help as well. Gesell just by his intelligence will not just be directing on the offensieve end, but also on defense.

Will Iowa be a top 5 defensive team next season in the BIG, probably not, but I don't think they will be at the bottom and yeah, the freshman will have a huge impact on that.
 


Let's revisit the prediction of minutes played:

First, as he quotes Fran as saying, even someone who got 34 minutes a game last year (Gatens) would have fewer minutes this year.

Here's Scott Dochterman’s minute breakdown:

Gesell 26, Clemmons 14
Marble 26, Oglesby 20
White 24, McCabe 20, Basabe 20, May 12, Ingram 8, Meyer RS
Woodbury 20, Olaseni 12

Although they probably won't be the final minutes in the stat sheet, at least the minutes add up. Anyone who gets more minutes will have to take away from someone else in this breakdown. That's the problem in figuring out final minutes for this team: they all deserve them.

Here are the current stats as of February 17, 2013 from
http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools/iowa/sports/m-baskbl/auto_pdf/2012-13/stats/season_stats.pdf

Gesell 27, Clemmons 18
Marble 30, Oglesby 16
White 28, McCabe 16, Basabe 18, May 19, Ingram 8, Meyer RS
Woodbury 16, Olaseni 9

Dochterman had everyone but May within 4 minutes of actual minutes played for the season so far. Not bad.

For the record, my feeble attempt at a wishy washy prediction is not borne out:
At Siena 2009-10 (Fran's Fifth year)
9 players in double figure minutes
4 with more than 30 minutes/game
1 with more than 20 minutes
3 with more than 10 minutes
next player had less than 6 minutes/ game

The previous two years at Siena were similar, although the 2009-10 brought four returning senior starters. I personally would be surprised if there is a fundamental shift in Fran's pattern that no players getting 30 minutes.
 


Just to clarify, Ingram is actually at 4 min/game if you average it over the 26 games Iowa has played.

That stat sheet is showing Ingram's average over only the games he actually played in.
 




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