NYCHawkeye74
Well-Known Member
We win out (12-0): We are going to Pasadena. It is probably 1/3 chance for Jan 8th and 2/3 for Jan 1st.
We lose to tOSU (11-1): If PSU beats tOSU the week before, then we tie with PSU and we go get the Roses. PSU plays MSU at season's end for a BCS berth. If tOSU beats PSU, then tOSU gets the Roses as long as they hold on against Michigan (no sure thing!). We go into hope and pray mode for 3 weeks while the BCS decides if our fan following is enough to get them to pass on an undefeated Boise State team ranked 8th in the BCS over us ranked 10th. Fiesta would be a possibility here, I think, vs TCU, perhaps? If Michigan pulled off the upset, then we are dancing in the streets.
We lose 1 (not tOSU) (11-1): We go to the Rose Bowl for the 1st time since the 1990 season and we spend the rest of our lives wondering what might have been. Only PSU can tie us then, and we have the tie-breaker via head-to-head contact...I mean competition.
We lose 2 (10-2): Given our road schedule this year, many of us would have taken this in a heartbeat. 10-2 would probably leave us ranked about 15th to 20th. Not bad, really, but not what we are hoping for now. Many would consider this a total implosion. I'm not sure it matters who we lose to if we drop two. Either PSU or tOSU would also have at least 2 losses. Possibly both. If PSU loses to MSU and beats tOSU, then we can still go to the Roses here. If PSU or tOSU only have one loss, we not only don't get the Rose Bowl, but I think we get dropped past Cap 1 and probably sent to the Outback. I don't think that the Capital One Bowl would pass on tOSU if it was between the two of us. If it is between Iowa and PSU for the Capital One Bowl, I think it will be a toss-up as to who gets the bid.
We lose 3 (9-3): This would probably find us 3rd or 4th in the conference, but with a nasty end to the year. I'm not sure it matters who we lose to if we lose 3 of the last 4. We probably wouldn't be ranked, or if we were, we'd be around 24th or 25th. The computer rankings would stop returning our phone calls and tell their friends we had really small units. This would send the PSU/tOSU winner to the Roses, and the other to the Capital One Bowl. We would probably be tied with either Wisky or MSU for 3rd, at 5-3, and Wisky might well be taken for the Outback over us. I can't see MSU be taken over us for either the Outback or Champ Sports, I don't think. I think the odds in this scenario would be 65% to Champ Sports, 35% to Outback.
We lose out (8-4): We will finish somewhere between 5th and 10th in the conference. Yes, we could still finish 10th, I think. We would most likely be higher, though. This would mean one B11 team to the BCS (tOSU or PSU). We would be the 4th, 5th, or 6th bowl team picked. That would mean Champ Sports, Alamo, or *gasp* Insight Bowl. Also, the boards would be calling for KoK and Kirk to be quartered and drawn. I wouldn't be able to log into the internet for fear of a stray pitchfork coming through my screen and impaling me.
http://www.hawkeyenation.com/forum/blog.php?b=30
We lose to tOSU (11-1): If PSU beats tOSU the week before, then we tie with PSU and we go get the Roses. PSU plays MSU at season's end for a BCS berth. If tOSU beats PSU, then tOSU gets the Roses as long as they hold on against Michigan (no sure thing!). We go into hope and pray mode for 3 weeks while the BCS decides if our fan following is enough to get them to pass on an undefeated Boise State team ranked 8th in the BCS over us ranked 10th. Fiesta would be a possibility here, I think, vs TCU, perhaps? If Michigan pulled off the upset, then we are dancing in the streets.
We lose 1 (not tOSU) (11-1): We go to the Rose Bowl for the 1st time since the 1990 season and we spend the rest of our lives wondering what might have been. Only PSU can tie us then, and we have the tie-breaker via head-to-head contact...I mean competition.
We lose 2 (10-2): Given our road schedule this year, many of us would have taken this in a heartbeat. 10-2 would probably leave us ranked about 15th to 20th. Not bad, really, but not what we are hoping for now. Many would consider this a total implosion. I'm not sure it matters who we lose to if we drop two. Either PSU or tOSU would also have at least 2 losses. Possibly both. If PSU loses to MSU and beats tOSU, then we can still go to the Roses here. If PSU or tOSU only have one loss, we not only don't get the Rose Bowl, but I think we get dropped past Cap 1 and probably sent to the Outback. I don't think that the Capital One Bowl would pass on tOSU if it was between the two of us. If it is between Iowa and PSU for the Capital One Bowl, I think it will be a toss-up as to who gets the bid.
We lose 3 (9-3): This would probably find us 3rd or 4th in the conference, but with a nasty end to the year. I'm not sure it matters who we lose to if we lose 3 of the last 4. We probably wouldn't be ranked, or if we were, we'd be around 24th or 25th. The computer rankings would stop returning our phone calls and tell their friends we had really small units. This would send the PSU/tOSU winner to the Roses, and the other to the Capital One Bowl. We would probably be tied with either Wisky or MSU for 3rd, at 5-3, and Wisky might well be taken for the Outback over us. I can't see MSU be taken over us for either the Outback or Champ Sports, I don't think. I think the odds in this scenario would be 65% to Champ Sports, 35% to Outback.
We lose out (8-4): We will finish somewhere between 5th and 10th in the conference. Yes, we could still finish 10th, I think. We would most likely be higher, though. This would mean one B11 team to the BCS (tOSU or PSU). We would be the 4th, 5th, or 6th bowl team picked. That would mean Champ Sports, Alamo, or *gasp* Insight Bowl. Also, the boards would be calling for KoK and Kirk to be quartered and drawn. I wouldn't be able to log into the internet for fear of a stray pitchfork coming through my screen and impaling me.
http://www.hawkeyenation.com/forum/blog.php?b=30
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