So you are putting Kennan Davis in with the likes of McNutt and DJK? There is no comparison worthy of my time. You forgot to throw maybe one of the biggest stats in there, and a stat that has plagued ISU for years, dropped balls. Davis may have more of those than DJK and McNutt combined. McNutt never dropped a ball, he made crossing routes look routine, he made over the shoulder catches look routine, he will be playing on Sundays. You honestly think Kennan Davis even gets a call as an undrafted free agent? And please do not bring CJF into this conversation, he is a name that has never produced, he is close to being mentioned with some of those 5* guys that never produced at Iowa.
Here are some of Iowa's stats from last season for the passing game.
McNutt had 82 receptions on 139 targets for a catch rate of 59%. He also had nearly half of Iowa's receiving TDs with 12 out of 25. McNutt was actually more productive on passing downs in both % and yards per catch and target.
Davis had 50 receptions on 86 targets for a catch rate of 58.1%. He was slightly more productive on standard downs and McNutt received over 36% of all of Iowa's thrid down targets last season. Davis caught 4 TD passes last season. His Junior numbers compare favorably to DJKs junior season in terms or receptions and TDs. Davis has room to improve, but did fight injuries for much of last season and will likely carve the most significant amount of targets that have been lost from last season (Iowa loses 191 targets from last season in the persons of McNutt, Coker and Herman in that order). Davis will likely see 100+ targets next season and should have a legit chance of catching 60+ passes and could exceed 1000 yards and 10 TDs as Vandenberg's top likely target.
KMM had 30 catches on 49 targets for a catch rate of 61.2%. He scored 3 TDs which would be the highest number of TDs returning for ISU. KMM did almost all of his damage from the slot and will likely take over that role again when Iowa goes 311 personnel. KMM started off the season hot and tailed off towards the end of the year, but his numbers are the best freshman receiving numbers since Douglas in 2006 and he scored 1 more TD than Davis in a lesser role. KMM has the ability to see 80+ targets next season if he can stay healthy and will likely be Iowa's second leading receiver.
Iowa's second mos significant loss in the passing game will be Coker, who was money on passing downs (9 catches on 12 targets for 97 yards). Coker will likely be replaced by a committee, however he was not an effective receiver on standard downs and had a terrible yards per target number- 3.2 yards per target. Personally I believe whoever takes over the lion's share of Coker's pass targets will be more effective in that role. Jordan Canzeri had 6 targets last season and caught all 6 passes and is going to be a better player in space than Coker.
The player to watch however is going to be Fiedorowicz who again scored more TDs last season than any returning ISU receiver. Fiedorowicz was incredibly efficient in every facet of the passing game and was obviously underutilized last season. CJFed had 16 catches on 21 targets for a very good 76.2% catch rate. CJFed scored 3 TDs on 21 targets and it is my opinion that he take over a large portion of available targets next season as he clearly outperformed Derby and Herman in the passing game last season and Iowa has McNutt's production in the red zone to replace. I would not be surprised to see 70+ targets for CJ next season and although his catch % will go down, he will still likely be the most efficient target in Iowa's passing game next season. 10+ TDs for CJ is not out of the question next season.
Given the defensive losses of Iowa's 2012 opponents this should be a special passing season for the Hawks if the line can keep JVB on his feet, Davis is as good int he passing game as advertised and Iowa can get reliable production from the third receiver position (whether one player steps up or it is three or four guys in spot duty it doesn't matter).