Ummmmm... he could still lose his next 2 and end up with EXACTLY the same record, you idiot. Logic and statistical probability sure are difficult concepts, aren't they? You do realize that Kirk hasn't won a bowl game in 4 years, right genius?
He "could" also win the next two bowl games. Using "probability" when you don't know who your opponent is or what kind of team we have at the end of the year is idiotic.