You do realize only 6 P5 teams have won 40+ games over the last 4 years?
Some on here have ZERO perspective on where Iowa is at as a program compared to other programs around the country. This is close to Kirk's best run of '01-'04 (or '02-'05) where he won 38 games in 4 years. If he wins the bowl game, that is 1 win less over 4 years than those good runs.
It is like I am the only guy on here who can see objectively. For instance when Iowa's four year run looked like this: 26-25 with the 43rd most P5 wins over that time period (2011-2014) I was calling for Kirk Ferentz head. Yet when he has won 36 game over a 4 year span, it is dumb to be rattling your saber.
Well you are really using the numbers in your thread so let's see:
1. Let's throw out KF's first two seasons in order to more objectively look at his and the hawks body of work so that we start with 2001.
2. 2001-2017 , 139 wins in 17 seasons, or an average of 8.2 wins a season (we could round it to 8 if need be)
So 8.2 is an average year
3. 17 years is a fair amount of data points, 30 discreet data points or more would lead to a better statistical analysis. Now I or we could run an Analysis of the Means to increase the data points to 30 or 40 etc to get a better average but I am too lazy after sitting through 8 hours of meetings.
I am also too lazy to use excel or SAS to find the variance or standard deviation of this data set so now I am going to take some liberties with the analysis and say 9 out of the 17 seasons, just over 50%, have total wins that lie within one win of the 8 game avg. So I am going to say 1 standard deviation which should be about 60% is a record of 7-9 wins.
9 wins is on the high end of average. LIke I said earlier I would like to say 9 wins in the last 4 years is above average but wait. This last 4 years includes wins of 7, 12, 8, and 8 games. I would bet that the 12 win season lies in about the 3rd to 4th standard deviation or about a 1-5% chance of happening. Maybe a 1% chance since it had been about 100 years since the last undefeated regular season.
So 2015 is a positive outlier value, way outside the norm of the last 4 years totals.
Lets look at the last 8 years which has a negative outlier from 2012 with only 4 wins. That is 62 wins in 8 years or an avg of 7.8 wins per year which is not that much different (but about 1/2 a game a year) than the overall 8.2.
The hawks are an 8 win a year team. That is avg. Your last 4 years is 9 wins a year with a large outlier which is why I say I would like to call it above average but if a C grade is average I am not going with a B grade but just a C+.
Those are the numbers. And I stick with my statement that Iowa has lost probably 4-6 games in the last 4 years , maybe more, because of their play not the opponent (mostly low offensive output and scoring) and coaching and I really think there should be more 10+ win seasons.
I dont want anyone fired or necessarily benched but I think the whole program in all aspects needs to improve 10-15% going forward, fix the issues and coach and play and recruit better. If you are averaging 3.8 yards per carry then aim and get 4.3 ypc etc etc