20 Year Comparison - Hayden and Kirk

Well, you're factually wrong on that one.

Ferentz AVG SOS - 2.981

Fry AVG SOS - 3.883

That's not an insignificant difference.

Fry also had 10 teams finish the year ranked in the top 25 vs Ferentz having 6 with a weaker average SOS.

FryIowa, is that all the times, 6, that KF has finished ranked in the top 25? REally. I mean he had 3 top 10 finishes in a row '02-04.
 
Kirk’s softer non-conference is balanced by a much tougher Big10.

It was called the Big2–Little8 for a reason.
 
Kirk’s softer non-conference is balanced by a much tougher Big10.

It was called the Big2–Little8 for a reason.

Not after Hayden entered the picture. Hayden showed the rest of the B1G that you could compete with the Big 2.

Hayden pulled the rest of the conference along with him.
 
Not after Hayden entered the picture. Hayden showed the rest of the B1G that you could compete with the Big 2.

Hayden pulled the rest of the conference along with him.
That doesn't happen automatically. NW and Wisconsin were still garbage fires for years. ISU was a garbage fire until the end of his tenure.
 
That doesn't happen automatically. NW and Wisconsin were still garbage fires for years. ISU was a garbage fire until the end of his tenure.


That doesn't mean KF deserves an automatic pass. Opponents inferior to Iowa or equal to Iowa Hayden usually handled. That has to mean something.
 
Ok, but how does that play into the winning % numbers... you lost me. standard deviation from what?
@ChosenChildren said Ferentz was more consistent than Hayden Fry. Standard deviation is a measure of consistency in a particular population or sample size (in this case from year to year). Basically he thinks KF has been more consistent from one season to the next but the actual stats show it’s not the case at all. Unsubstantiated bias at its finest.

Just like how he thought Ferentz has had a stronger SOS. It’s just bullshit he pulled out of thin air.
 
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FryIowa, is that all the times, 6, that KF has finished ranked in the top 25? REally. I mean he had 3 top 10 finishes in a row '02-04.
Yep it is true.

But HF finished with 5 or fewer wins 6 seasons. KF - only 3.

HF had 2 AP Top 10 finishes. KF has had 5.

4 of HF 8-4 teams finished in the AP Top 25. 3 of them in the top 20.
Compare that to KF who had 4 teams finish 8-5, none of which finished in the top 25, or last year's 9-4 who didn't finish in the AP Top 25.

What does all this mean.... just that there are always facts to pull that can support either position in this arguement.

Why can't we actually be happy that we have had two very impressive and well.respected coaches in the last 20 years?
 
Well, you're factually wrong on that one.

Ferentz AVG SOS - 2.981

Fry AVG SOS - 3.883

That's not an insignificant difference.

Fry also had 10 teams finish the year ranked in the top 25 vs Ferentz having 6 with a weaker average SOS.

You are referring to the college football reference service. Yes you are correct, based on that service. But you better keep reading. They also rate all Iowa teams on SRS (relative strength). Iowa’s average SRS Has been higher under ferentz as compared to Fry. And Ferentz has more Top 10 finishes
Than Fry.

Fry was great, but Ferentz has been very good as well. Not much difference overall.
 
Again, wrong. You're pulling stuff out of your butthole on this thread. If you're going to say Ferentz is more consistent use some numbers or some facts to back it up. If anything else this shows how opinions replace facts in people's heads.

Ferentz win% SDEV: .197

Fry win% SDEV .158

Small difference? Maybe. But it's more than enough to say that Ferentz isn't more consistent because it's actually the opposite.

My argument is based on the fact that Kirk has had only one losing regular season (4-8 in 2012) in his last 18 seasons. Fry’s losing seasons in his last 18:

89: 5-6
92: 5-7
98: 3-8

Sorry to burst your bubble
 
Standard deviation
I don't really know what say to this one...

Kind of hard to make a Mt Rushmore out of Iowa coaching. We've had 3 coaches since shitting indoors became a thing who've even come close to being successful. A Mt. Rushmore suggests some sort of storied history, and at least a few people to chose from for that "honor," and none of that exists at Iowa no matter how much we want to think so.

I would say a coach making the college football Hall of Fame qualifies for any school’s Mount Rushmore. I believe, based on memory, that the following Iowa coaches are in the hall: Jones; Evy; Hayden. Ferentz will be.

Your contempt for Ferentz ruins your objectivity. It is just too obvious. Give the man his due.
 
Every time this debate comes up I lean toward Hayden. For one reason and one reason only. I think it is much more difficult to change the culture of a program than it is to replenish the cupboards. Hayden had to change the culture of the Iowa program, the culture was already established when Kirk got here. Without Hayden there is no Kirk.

I agree with this 100 percent. But it is also difficult to do what Ferentz has done. I would rank Fry above Ferentz for the reasons you mention, but is isn’t a huge gap. I would also point out that Ferentz isn’t done yet...he may coach several more years.
 
This is a fun site. Thanks!

This site uses a rating device (SRS) that compares all teams year to year. It factors in strength of schedule and winning margin to calculate the strength of a team. Fry’s average SRS was lower than Kirk’s current average. Interestingly enough, Evy’s Average SRS was much higher that hayden’s Or Kirk’s. You can argue that Evy was iowa’s Greatest football coach, based on that rating device
 
In prior discussions of KF and Hall of Fame, didn't someone bring up that overall win% had to be >60% to be eligible, and KF is unlikely to get there when factoring in his Maine tenure?

If we really think of Hall of Fame as a place for the true greats within a game, I am not sure KF belongs. His impressive career #s are due to longevity more so than true excellence (though he has flirted with excellence here and there). That said, I am glad he is our coach, and I am in full support. I think he has things heading in a very positive direction right now.

I was not a Hawk fan during the Fry era, but it does seem like overall he was more influential in positioning the program where it is today. I do think people underestimate just how hard it is to follow a legend and maintain a similar level of production.
 
I don't really know what say to this one...

Kind of hard to make a Mt Rushmore out of Iowa coaching. We've had 3 coaches since shitting indoors became a thing who've even come close to being successful. A Mt. Rushmore suggests some sort of storied history, and at least a few people to chose from for that "honor," and none of that exists at Iowa no matter how much we want to think so.

There are actually 4 Iowa coaches in the Hall. I forgot Eddie Anderson. He spent most of his years shitting indoors.

Ferentz has had 7 teams finish in the AP top 25: 02, 03, 04, 08, 08, 15 and 18; not 6.
 

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