College Football Playoff New Ranking
- Thread starter HuckFinn
- Start date
NCHawker
Well-Known Member
now I want to see a 24 team bracket so I can enjoy a few hypothetical wins on a dark November night.
SwirlinLingerie
Well-Known Member
The committee apparently loves Iowa (atta boy to Dannen and Dantonio).
Beat USC....and you got a chip, a chair and a chance.
Beat USC....and you got a chip, a chair and a chance.
SwirlinLingerie
Well-Known Member
Damn. I am a degenerate. I've already broken it down. The path is narrow but legit.
Obviously it involves Iowa winning out. Oregon needs to win out. If Indiana loses, it needs to be in a really competitive championship game with Ohio State.
Other assumptions include the ACC and Big 12 only getting one team in each, which I don't think is much of a stretch.
Other than all that, the single biggest headwind (in my opinion at least) is that Vanderbilt needs to lose again, most likely at Tennessee.
If other games go to chalk (like Oklahoma and Texas losing), in my scenario the SEC gets 4 and the Big Ten gets 4. I think this would be the path of least resistance for the committee, too, and probably what they'd prefer. Iowa's 3 loss resume would need to be perceived as better than any SEC team 3 loss resume, which it probably would be if IN and OR stay top 5 range.
I don't think I initially grasped the significance yesterday of Iowa essentially treading water in the rankings.
Obviously it involves Iowa winning out. Oregon needs to win out. If Indiana loses, it needs to be in a really competitive championship game with Ohio State.
Other assumptions include the ACC and Big 12 only getting one team in each, which I don't think is much of a stretch.
Other than all that, the single biggest headwind (in my opinion at least) is that Vanderbilt needs to lose again, most likely at Tennessee.
If other games go to chalk (like Oklahoma and Texas losing), in my scenario the SEC gets 4 and the Big Ten gets 4. I think this would be the path of least resistance for the committee, too, and probably what they'd prefer. Iowa's 3 loss resume would need to be perceived as better than any SEC team 3 loss resume, which it probably would be if IN and OR stay top 5 range.
I don't think I initially grasped the significance yesterday of Iowa essentially treading water in the rankings.
NorthKCHawk
Well-Known Member
Pitt, S. Florida and Cinci, all ranked behind us, all still have a shot to make the playoffs because of their weak ass conference affiliations. All could win their conference or theoretically still squeeze in as an at large bid (less likely) So, that is why they go out to 25, to let all the teams still in play know where they stand in terms of committee respect.
As for Iowa being 21? I was shocked. Good to see smart football people understanding what good football looks like outside the blue bloods.
I listened to the ANF Podcast and they make a good point. Iowa is going to have to move up to #10 in the rankings because if you are 11 or 12 you could get pushed out by the Group of 5 and ACC qualifiers.
Not sure how that lines up with your analysis but sure seems to make it a narrow path.
Michigan is ahead of us, and would be 9-3 too. Unless they get destroyed by tOSU, I don't think we jump them. In your scenario, we would have a better common opponent victory in USC. I was looking forward to visiting The Coliseum this weekend, but we are going to get rained on all weekend. Bodes well for the Hawks though.