The Big LeHAWKski
Well-Known Member
One thing I'm certain we can ALL agree on...Sept 2nd can't get here fast enough.
Um, I think MSU in 2016 was a huge anomaly. That overall record could easily be 22-5. That MSU year was a fluke compared to the previous 5 years before it.
Couple of assumptions we should challenge
The first big misconception we should fix is that Wisc's 2016 cross-over was so much harder than everybody else in the west. Lets compare Iowa and Wisc
Wisc 2016 crossover schedule
@MSU 1-8
@Mich 7-2
OSU 8-1
Overall 16-11
Iowa 2016 crossover schedule
@Rut 0-9
@PSU 8-1
Mich 7-2
Overall 15-12
Or Iowa and Wisc are about the same
Next is it true that Iowa has the hardest crossover in 2017. Lets compare Iowa and Nebraska.
Iowa 2017 schedule
@MSU 1-8
PSU 8-1
OSU 8-1
Overall 17-10
Neb 2017 schedule
RUT 0-9
OSU 8-1
@PSU 8-1
Overall 16-11
So Iowa and Neb are about the same except Iowa gets PSU at home and Neb has to play @PSU.
Yes, but that's the flaw in your thinking. Assuming that in typical years, all 3 power teams you are facing in crossovers will be "up". In reality the odds are not good that all 3 teams will be at their peak. In reality at least 1 of 3 will have a down year.