I see comments in threads like this all the time:
"Hopefully we'll be better next year..."
"Its one down year, after Fran pulled us out of the gutter. We'll be better next year."
"This is clearly a rebuilding year and the only real step back for Fran so far. We'll be better next year."
Well, what is better. Right now we're 3-11, 12-15. We have 4 games left not counting the B1G tournament. We could lose all 4 but best case in my mind is we win 2.
So lets's say we end up 5-13, 14-17. Obviously 6-12 next year is better but I don't think that's what people really are willing to accept. Evey the Pollyanna apologists seem like they're going to expect more.
I've said in other threads, we need to make the actual tournament next year - not a play in game, if we make the play-in we need to win and actually be in. So what needs to happen next year for you to consider this team better?
Will be interesting when Iowa doesn't make the NCAA next year, and Barta not care at all.
I don't think Barta will have a choice...
You sound more confident than I.
You sound more confident than I.
Not so much "confidence" as "perception of reality". I find it hard to believe Barta won't get phone calls from certain people if the Hawks are sitting at 12-11 in February and Fran has been tossed the night before for a "blow-up". That phone on Barta's desk will see some action.
I guess I don't know who really pulls the strings.
Wouldn't these same people have a say in this latest extension?
A better record won't take much. I think an average defensive team next year will add 8 to 10 wins with the returning guys. Now add in 3 quality players...including CM since he's been hurt/sick all season.
My expectation for next year is 2 non conference losses or less and no worse than 12-6 in the conference. I expect us to make it to Saturday of the BTT and the 2nd weekend of the NCAA.
I believe Cook, Bohannon and Wieskamp (All Freshmen Team) have a legitimate chance at 1st or 2nd Team All Conference...if they all stay healthy.
Who tipped off Leistikow?Given that it took a FOIA request to get the details, I'd say, no, those folks didn't know.
So if we're already not making the dance next year, why are we sitting on essentially a lame duck coach?We play 20 conference games next year, not 18. Our non-conference will most likely be Oregon, UConn/Syracuse, ACC opponent, Big East opponent, ISU, UNI and five cupcakes. I don't see us losing less than 3 there, and realistically, we could lose 4 or 5. It's possible we don't play in both ACC and Gavitt, but either way the non-conference will be tougher than this season. I'd say 8-3 non-conference and 10-10 conference is best case scenario. Too much talent returning in conference to make that big a move, especially with the slightly more balanced schedule. You have to assume we'll play MSU twice for instance, we've only played them once each of the past two. I can't see an NCAA tourney appearance based off that record.
So if we're already not making the dance next year, why are we sitting on essentially a lame duck coach?
Wasn't it Dochterman?Who tipped off Leistikow?
Leistikow probably tried stopping him from reporting on it.Maybe... I think you're correct.
Who tipped off Leistikow?
Assuming most of the conf improves next year, it doesn't look too promising for us.How bad is the BIG conference this year? We might only get 4 out of 14 teams into the dance. Ouch.
Then I will simply say 22-9 and an NCAA lock going into the BTT is my expectation.We play 20 conference games next year, not 18. Our non-conference will most likely be Oregon, UConn/Syracuse, ACC opponent, Big East opponent, ISU, UNI and five cupcakes. I don't see us losing less than 3 there, and realistically, we could lose 4 or 5. It's possible we don't play in both ACC and Gavitt, but either way the non-conference will be tougher than this season. I'd say 8-3 non-conference and 10-10 conference is best case scenario. Too much talent returning in conference to make that big a move, especially with the slightly more balanced schedule. You have to assume we'll play MSU twice for instance, we've only played them once each of the past two. I can't see an NCAA tourney appearance based off that record.