Way Too Early - 2017-2018 Analysis

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NikeHawk21

Well-Known Member
Here is my way too early rotation for 2017-2018. This is what I hope to see (unlikely).

JBo 30 min
Moss 25 min
Baer 25 min
Cook 27 min
Garza 18 min

Pemsl 20 min
Williams 15 min
Wagner 15 min
Ellingson 15 min
Nunge or Dailey 10 min

Minutes breakdown by position:

Pg: 25 min JBo / 15 min Williams
Sg: 20 min Moss / 15 min BE / 5 min JBo
Sf: 25 min Baer / 10 min Nunge or Dailey / 5 min Moss
Pf: 20 min Cook / 15 min Wagner / 5 min Pemsl
C: 18 min Garza / 15 min Pemsl / 7 min Cook
 


Rotation Analysis (areas to improve):

JBo: Improved defense / quickness. A few minutes running off screens at Sg. I want him shooting 8-10 3s a game.

Moss: IMO the most important piece. Potential is there. Has a tough time getting open off screens. Needs to tighten up the handles. We need him to offer something as a driver.

Baer: I just don't see anyone else earning the starting spot here. Keep improving lateral quickness, ball handling, & 3pt shot.

Cook: Step out to a mid range jump shot. Keep improving defense & rebounding. Likely an all conference player.

Garza - I have him here because I hope he is good enough to start. I hope he can rebound and protect the rim. Any offense is gravy to me. Sounds like he's good offensively.

Pemsl - Potential back to back 6th man of the year awards for Iowa? A high energy, highly skilled big off the bench. Not many teams have that.

Williams - Needs to put together a full season. Provides perimeter D and hopefully good passing and the occasional drive. Develop that mid range jumper.

Wagner - Offensive rebounder and versatile defender. I know most will say he needs to add a mid range shot. I don't see him ever getting there consistently but maybe. He still has a role.

Ellingson - highly unlikely he shoots as well next year as this but honestly I was impressed with some of the other things he's did this year. Keep improving the defense.

Nunge - From what I'm hearing it sounds like this kid is going to be too good not to play. That's not a bad thing. I think his minutes would make the most sense at the 3 with all the frontline depth we have. He's 6'10 and skilled.

Dailey - He may transfer. If he stays around and is good enough to crack the rotation he could provide some much needed perimeter defense and potentially the ability to get to basket off the dribble.

Kriener - I'm not as high on him as some others are. I basically assumed that Garza will be better. If not he should have a role. Not a bad option to throw out there if we get in foul trouble.

Uhl. He will likely play as the teams lone senior. I just don't think he is good enough if he isn't making 3s.
 


Strengths:
Size/ Length
Scoring
Depth

Weaknesses:
Lack of perimeter quickness
Lack of drivers

Question marks:
Defense - potential is there.

Rebounding - we have the size.

Guard play - can JBo/ Moss / Williams / Ellingson take the next step without Jok. Maybe Dailey can help?

Enough 3pt shooting - IMO you can never have enough, but our bench will be light on shooters it appears. Still JBo/ Ellingson/ Moss/ Baer should provide a good starting point. Nunge or Dailey could help. Garza?
 




I'm optimistic that Williams will improve. Making a leap from really small school competition to D1 is a difficult transition.The guy can play. Everything was about him in high school. No longer.

Cook needs to play...a lot.

Moss is a big unknown and key.

I expect the least improvement out of Pemsyl. I don't consider him highly skilled, but a 6th or 7th man that is highly disruptive to other teams over 5 minute stretch's as he plays so differently. He's far more effective than out right good. Play too much and teams will figure him out and lessen the impact.

I would like to see Baer be the other 6/7 guy.

Problem is that a number of BIG teams will also be better.
 








Just curious that no one is giving Connor McCaffery any playing time. He is as highly rated as Garza; so seems he might earn some PT.
 


hagarwood said:
Just curious that no one is giving Connor McCaffery any playing time. He is as highly rated as Garza; so seems he might earn some PT.
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I just don't see him making an impact next year. I certainly could be wrong. If you look over on TOS many of them are convinced he will contribute next year.
 


NikeHawk21 said:
I just don't see him making an impact next year. I certainly could be wrong. If you look over on TOS many of them are convinced he will contribute next year.
Click to expand...

He plays a position of need more - so he may get thrust into it. I also think Garza and Nunge are getting too many because of how many front court guys we have - either way - I don't disagree with your #'s too badly, i just tend to err on the experience over youth as does Fran in most cases.
 




InGoodCo said:
He plays a position of need more - so he may get thrust into it. I also think Garza and Nunge are getting too many because of how many front court guys we have - either way - I don't disagree with your #'s too badly, i just tend to err on the experience over youth as does Fran in most cases.
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Garza gives us more of a true center look. As I wrote it sounds like Nunge is going to be too good to keep off the floor. I only had them for 28 minutes combined. As I wrote about Uhl he will likely be in the rotation and I left him out of mine.
 


HawkeyeFan57 said:
I don't remember too many excited about Pemsl or Bohannon this time last year. Give it some time....Please!
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Obviously I hope he's good. I'm not even convinced he will be on the Iowa Basketball team next year (prep school or baseball only). I've been wrong before and would love to have some crow if he becomes White Magic Jr.
 


Starters:
Jbo
Moss
Baer
Cook
Wagner

Bench:
Williams - spot minutes at PG, maybe a few at 2 (maybe 10 minutes at PG, 5 at the 2)
Ellingson
Nunge
Pemsl
Kriener

If Garza comes in ready to play as a freshman, he could be the backup 5. If that happens, I still think there's potential for Kriener to take Peml's minutes. Cordell had a great year and shot such a high percentage but I still think Kriener has more long term potential because of his outside shooting ability.
 


ibahawkeye said:
Starters:
Jbo
Moss
Baer
Cook
Wagner

Bench:
Williams - spot minutes at PG, maybe a few at 2 (maybe 10 minutes at PG, 5 at the 2)
Ellingson
Nunge
Pemsl
Kriener

If Garza comes in ready to play as a freshman, he could be the backup 5. If that happens, I still think there's potential for Kriener to take Peml's minutes. Cordell had a great year and shot such a high percentage but I still think Kriener has more long term potential because of his outside shooting ability.
Click to expand...

That could certainly be the lineup, especially at the start of the year. The one thing I don't like about the Wagner/Cook front line is that because Wagner is undersized, Cook is forced to guard the other team's biggest guy, which has often led to foul trouble. If Garza or Kriener can step up as a more true center, it should help Cook stay out of foul trouble.
 


Moss definitely the X Factor, needs to work on dribbling non stop this summer.
Not high on Williams. Barring drastic improvement I honestly would have more confidence in Connor over him right now on the floor.
 


I dont know how potential walk-ons work, but Connor hasn't signed with Iowa yet and as far as I've seen he hasn't even said he's for sure playing basketball (or basketball only) at Iowa. He just committed to Iowa and that's it. The other two players have signed LOI's to play basketball at Iowa. Until Connor makes that commitment, I wouldn't count on any minutes out of him
 


25-6 overall record. 14-4 in the Big Ten. BTT - doesn't matter. 3-4 seed in the tournament.
 


NikeHawk21 said:
I just don't see him making an impact next year. I certainly could be wrong. If you look over on TOS many of them are convinced he will contribute next year.
Click to expand...

I could see him getting 5-10 minutes by mid-season. Like someone said, it's a position of need and some other guys haven't exactly been setting the world on fire.
 


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