These stats may suprise you

Iowa is the best team in the conference, a few teams go lucky bounces against them and benefited from some bad calls. If Iowa plays any of those teams again they would win 9 out of 10 times.
 
The close wins are harder to remember than the close losses. I did a look back a week ago over the past 5 years, and Iowa has a losing record in close games. Championship teams don't do that. These 4 losses this year were so incredibly frustrating because it was never the same thing, it was an equally distributed malfunction.
 
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The close wins are harder to remember than the close losses. I did a look back a week ago over the past 5 years, and Iowa has a losing record in close losses. Championship teams don't do that. These 4 losses this year were so incredibly frustrating because it was never the same thing, it was an equally distributed malfunction.
Heck, just having Hankins available for the Purdue game probably would have enough to win it.
 
A famous coach once said, "People who rely on hope are bad at strategy."
A smart coach once said that some random dude in Iowa using the word hope about his favorite football team would surely have a major impact on the team’s final record. Or maybe I’m misremembering.
 
If you go compile the stats for say the last 10 years, I would bet the team that turns ball over more is very highly likely to have lost.

I'm not going to disagree with that. You do need to take care of the football. But you need some margin for error, and relying on perfect execution isn't the best way to accomplish that.
 
Iowa's +7 turnover margin is 22nd in the nation. In the B1G they trail only Michigan and... Maryland (!)- both at +8.

Any other ideas?

What was turnover margin in the games we lost?????????????????

-3 against Wisconsin
0 net against Penn State
-1 against Purdue
0 net against Northwestern

So for the 4 losses we had no games where Iowa had the better of the turnover margin.
 
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What was turnover margin in the games we lost?????????????????

-3 against Wisconsin
0 net against Penn State
-1 against Purdue
0 net against Northwestern

So for the 4 losses we had no games where Iowa had the better of the turnover margin.

Actually they were +1 against Purdue.

Meaning, in 3 of their 4 losses they had no more turnovers than their opponent.

So turnovers aren't exactly a reasonable answer to "why'd they lose"...
 
Inflated stats based off of destroying lesser opponents.

Yes, just like last year where the hawks scored in the 50's twice and in the 40s I think twice but also had low scoring outputs under 17 points in 3 or 4 losses.

Way too much variability in total scoring per game, need to have that offense that averages 33 points with a much smaller variance range of say 6 points, mainly scoring between 27 and 40 pts a game. Then with our usually very good scoring defense you are winning 9-10 games a year.

Not sure why KF doesnt do something to jack up the offense
 
Yes, just like last year where the hawks scored in the 50's twice and in the 40s I think twice but also had low scoring outputs under 17 points in 3 or 4 losses.

Way too much variability in total scoring per game, need to have that offense that averages 33 points with a much smaller variance range of say 6 points, mainly scoring between 27 and 40 pts a game. Then with our usually very good scoring defense you are winning 9-10 games a year.

Not sure why KF doesnt do something to jack up the offense
2015 was a good example of what you're talking about. Once we cleared Wisconsin off our deck it seemed like we scored 30-40 points week after week. When teams like Indiana and Minnesota had a little bit of late offensive uprising against us we still had enough points to carry the day.

Most of those games we scored right in the 27-40 point bullseye you talk about.
 
updated stats

last season 4-5 in conference, this year 5-4 - improvement - smiles

Some Kirk stats
Record against conference foes

winning record against - CYCLONES &
PENN STATE
MARYLAND
MICHIGAN
RUTGERS
MINNESOTA
INDIANA
PURDUE
ILLINOIS
NEBRASKA (in conference - overall 5-5)

losing record against
WISCONSIN
BUCKEYES
FELONIOUS DANTONIOS
FIGHTING FITZGERALDS

So - Kirk owns 10 rivals and 4 rivals own him
Not bad.
 
Are we really OK with a 9-9 B1G record over the last two years?

updated stats

last season 4-5 in conference, this year 5-4 - improvement - smiles

Some Kirk stats
Record against conference foes

winning record against - CYCLONES &
PENN STATE
MARYLAND
MICHIGAN
RUTGERS
MINNESOTA
INDIANA
PURDUE
ILLINOIS
NEBRASKA (in conference - overall 5-5)

losing record against
WISCONSIN
BUCKEYES
FELONIOUS DANTONIOS
FIGHTING FITZGERALDS

So - Kirk owns 10 rivals and 4 rivals own him
Not bad.
rere
 
updated stats on individuals

Nate - (a little regression from 2017)
NAME CMP ATT YDS CMP% YDS/A TD INT RAT
Nate Stanley 214 365 2638 58.6 7.23 23 9 135.2

RBs (not quite Daniels/Wadley circa 2016, but getting there)
Mekhi Sargent 152 748 4.9 32 9
Toren Young 133 630 4.7 40 5

Receivers (Fant struggles not on him)
T.J. Hockenson 46 717 15.6 54 (TD) 6
Noah Fant 39 519 13.3 65 7

Kicking (Recinos the hero)
Name XPM XPA XP% FGM FGA FG% 1-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50+ LNG PTS
Miguel Recinos 44 44 100 15 20 75 0/0 5/5 4/8 6/6 0/1 49 89

Defense

http://www.espn.com/college-football/conferences/statistics/_/id/5/big-ten-conference

Nelson and AJ tied for most sacks in the Big Ten. Remember, that's with AJ getting approx the same number of snaps as Noah.
Geno Stone and Amani Hooker tied for 2nd place in the conference with 4 interceptions each.

This was a 10 win team fellas.
 
The time frame of the turnovers is a factor, for instance, the interception at the goal line late in the fourth quarter at Penn State cost us the game.....

The idiocy of the special teams gave Wisconsin a TD which was the difference maker even including their time consuming TD drive in the fourth quarter.....

Purdue was a shootout that the zebras helped the boilermakers along the way. We simply ran out of time.....

NW was a solid defeat due to the play of the Wildcats whom I want to see destroyed and humiliated by the Buckeyes.....

We should have two more victories this season.....

It does feel good to have the possibility of a 9 win season and a top-level bowl game is in play.....
 
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