When we started having these discussions during the year I said this. I think Iowa can be a contender but I do not think they have a legit chance to win this league without defense. In order to win a B1G championship you need to win on the road, and in order to win on the road (at a high enough %) you need defense. Defense travels as they say.
Iowa went 2-8 on the road in conference play this year with wins over 8-23 NW and 15-16 Minnesota. Two wins over teams with losing records.
I think Iowa is poised for a very good year if everyone returns and a very exciting team but I wouldn’t pick them to win the league given how poor their defense has been.
Now they can improve some on D for certain and I think they will. I think Joe T and Fredrick by virtue of going from Freshman to sophomores will improve. Topic for another conversation but Fredrick wasn’t near the defensive player he was hyped to be this year, but I do think he can be down the road. Garza you know is going to put in the work to keep improving on D. Wieskamp can get better with more strength and hopefully quickness.
So while the defense improves even if it improves close to thirty spots we’d still be near 70 in terms defensive efficiency. To me you can’t win the conference given that, regardless of how elite you are on offense.
2015 we were 34 in adjusted defense. 2016 we were 30th. We are a far cry from that over the last three years.What were the defensive efficiency numbers before the Purdue road game? Low 80's? Under Fran Iowa will never be great defensively and I am okay with that. In my mind he understands how the game is played, by pushing pace and trying to increase the number of possessions. Imo, it unraveled Feb. 5th in West Layeffette, figure out why you went from the low 80's to the high 90's from that game on and next year could be very special.
Rutgers probably deserves more love than their getting.Here is the 247 Way Too Early poll for next year, some pretty heady stuff.
https://247sports.com/LongFormArtic...iers-Kentucky-Wildcats-145046364/#145046364_9
Rutgers won 20 games this year, and 18 of those were home games. They are solid, but nothing more than that.Rutgers probably deserves more love than their getting.
Turgeon may have legit reasons to whine given what he will probably lose for next year.
I can already tell the expectations for Iowa are going to be through the roof if Luka comes back. That creates a different dynamic. I think the mental makeup of this group is strong and it will be challenged going from hunter to hunted.
I think Joe T is a guy who could take a really big step forward next year. Had some great moments this year and seems to be a really hard worker.If JBo can and should increase the offensive efficiency and overall flow and spread of shooters on the court that can overcome some defensive lapses. If Nunge and Patrick can fill Kriener's and Pemsl's roles I think the hawks improve.
If JT can stay out of foul trouble and hold opposing point guards from penetrating and breaking down the hawk defense that will help and maybe Connor gets better at this.
Usually teams with really good or better man to man defenses win championships, except Boeheim's Syracuse teams.
I almost don’t want to be preseason favorites, as I think that will make it even more difficult (real or perceived).I can already tell the expectations for Iowa are going to be through the roof if Luka comes back. That creates a different dynamic. I think the mental makeup of this group is strong and it will be challenged going from hunter to hunted.