Quality Wins, Bad Losses - Iowa's resume is a weird study
- Thread starter storminspank
- Start date
ssckelley
Well-Known Member
I sure hope they find a way to make a shot on the road when they play @ Penn State on Thursday, if they pull that one out then the home game against Minnesota will be the biggest game for Iowa since Chris Street day. Imagine how much fun this forum and the threads will be if next Monday we are discussing Iowa's tournament chances with a 17-9 record.
SteveGarvey
Well-Known Member
[QUOTE=SpiderRico;1063401]I'd say no. History is on the side of 10-8....no Big 10 team that has finished 10-8 has ever been left out of the tournament. But there are times when 9-9 teams have been left out (Iowa being the first in 1994-1995). I'd still take 10-8 and then take our chances knocking off someone in the BTT. But I want that 10-8 "in the barn".[/QUOTE]
No, but Iowa has been left out at least twice at 9-7-back when they had only 16 conference games. Alford's last year and a year in the late 90s when Iowa was 9-7. That year, they had a better conference record than Indiana and beat them twice yet the committee took Indiana and left us home. That still kinda chaffes my heiny to tell the truth.
No, but Iowa has been left out at least twice at 9-7-back when they had only 16 conference games. Alford's last year and a year in the late 90s when Iowa was 9-7. That year, they had a better conference record than Indiana and beat them twice yet the committee took Indiana and left us home. That still kinda chaffes my heiny to tell the truth.
storminspank
Justin VanLaere
Stop it. No one likes stats. It just makes everyone mad and stuff.
storminspank
Justin VanLaere
HawkPrdatr40
Well-Known Member
That shows a date of Feb 3rd Minnesota was 17-5 and 5-4 in the BT. That is a Lock, hence the 99.98%. Iowa was 14-8 and 3-6. Pretty much a no brainer out.
I actually don't see much change when it is updated. Right now Minnesota is in and Iowa is out.
When they update Minnesota may fall to 98% and Iowa could rise to 0.05%.
franstheman
Well-Known Member
Yeah i think we should wait to see who's in our bracket but yes, the B1G is so tough we have already faced the best competition in the country.
storminspank
Justin VanLaere
The discrepancy is just too large for me to take it seriously.
Section136
Well-Known Member
Equals 100%. That means either Iowa or Minnesota will make the Dance....duh
1977Hawkeye
Well-Known Member
And if I'm not mistaken, I thought Iowa went 9-7 back in the 2004 season as well, and went to the NIT. The year they choked it away the last minute against St. Louie.
I remember the year you were talking about where Iowa beat IU twice and still went to the NIT. 1997-98? I remember the knock on Iowa that year was an incredibly weak non-conference schedule. Their RPI was in the 70's IIRC, and they pretty much got manhandled by Michigan in the BTT first round. Although they did have two wins over IU and a blowout win over what was a Top 10 Purdue team.
So no, a winning conference record does not guarantee an NCAA invite. However, the years that happened, I don't think the Big Ten was considered to be a particularly strong league. Not the case this year, so I would think 10-8 gets us in.
storminspank
Justin VanLaere
PantherMania
Well-Known Member
Can't tell if you're serious...
He is serious, not that I agree but bcl is serious.
aaronzuriel
Well-Known Member
At this point I think the best we can expect is to not completely stumble. Ala lose to Nebraska, etc.
Win what we should, hang tough vs Indiana. The we hope that some other bubble team completely collapses.
I hope I'm wrong, but I see our post season tournament with 3 letters, not 4.
Despite all the good losses, moral victories and the fact Iowa is good enough to play and compete in March Madness.. if they lose to Purdue, Nebby or PSU and don't win 2 of 3 from Minny, IU and the Illianoy... they don't deserve to get in and won't.
There I said it... despite the fact
IOWA is BACK
When you compare the resumes of other alleged bubble teams, (Illinois, Indiana State, Baylor, Stanford, etc) it would seem that Iowa needs more wins against good teams IMO. As Stormin mentioned, Iowa really only has two bad losses and both of those are on the road against not horrible BCS-level teams. Iowa has only two wins vs. teams in the RPI top-50 and Iowa has only one other win against teams in the RPI top-100 (UNI). In fact 9 of Iowa's 15 wins have come against teams with RPI rankings of 200 or worse. Obviously, a loss to Penn State, Nebraska or Purdue would be awful for this team's tournament but IMO the lack of a signature win(s) on the resume is worse right now.
ajkhawkeye
Well-Known Member
Win at home against Minnesota and take care of business with all the other winnable games, and I think the committee would have a hard time overlooking us.
Damn it, it's just so frustrating to play the what-if game with this team.
DunderMifflinHk
Well-Known Member
It also depends on how many at large bids there are. We need to root for conference regular season champions to win their conference tournaments so that there are more at large bids.
