PSU Game predictions

Isn't it funny how people are worried about the rain giving PSU an advantage because of how it might affect our passing game? Would anyone have had this same sentiment in the last few years?

Agreed. But I also would bet PSUs run D is better than Maryland's, stats notwithstanding.
 
34-28 hawks. The hawk Dee will make a lot of good plays , enough of them but PSU is hard to hold down. But IU may have exposed PSU's run defense as they lost a starting DTackle before the IU game. I think the hawks can drive the ball and make the pass completions when needed to score. I like our edge protection that was outstanding against fast Maryland to keep PSU under control.
 
I would really like to see the hawk defensive ends and an occasional blitzer crash the mesh point in their zone read offense. Disrupt and disrupt and not just try to contain and let Mcsorley run around and make big plays. You dont have to worry about a Barkley this year so attack Mcsorley at the handoff point.
 
31-14 PSU

I hope to hell I am wrong but we haven’t beaten anyone yet. Penn State is going to blitz the hell out of us and I don’t think Stanley can make quick enough decisions to beat it. If we win this then this is a special team.
 
23-20 Hawks. I do believe they will drive down early and put up 7. We adjust, shut them down mostly until we give up a 50+ yd score. Young secondary, good qb, PSU gets a couple of fg's in the 2nd half.

For the good guys, short passing game works well, 150 rush yds, field position battle works in our favor because of our def and the weather. I see 300-225 yardage advantage, no to's for PSU but lots of punts and 4 scoring drives. Hawks turn it over once but again defense comes up big.

If we are dominant on the lines, and we will know early, we win by 10+. Home field though....3rd loss at home....can that even happen? Lol 23-20 Hawks
 
28-24 Hawks if...

We win the turnover battle
Have a 100 yard rusher
Contain McSorely

I'll say this. The Hawks are playing with a different edge to them right now and I think the coaching staff and players are gonna pull all the punches, in order to win every game from here on out. I imagine we'll see some wrinkles in the game plan this week, that no one expects. Regardless, that game will be a close one.
There were years back around 2002 and on where you could see the team chemistry on both sides of the ball coming together. Gotta play clean, no bonehead mistakes @ QB or special teams. No penalties keeping PSU drives alive. If Iowa can step it up a notch this may be a game for the ages.
 
Scary. Toughest road game of the year. Obviously this PSU team is dangerous. The weather may not be ideal for Iowa. Iowa needs this game.

Iowa 31-18
 
My fear in this game is that we focus too much on McSorley, and get gashed by a couple of big RB runs - probably Sanders, but, if Slade plays, he's a big-play threat as well. Barkley is gone, yes, but we can't sleep on PSU's running backs. They're more talented than most realize.

Offensively, I look for us to get our RBs more involved in the passing game. Right now, teams are terrified of our TEs, so expect a lot of the coverage to get rolled their way. That's a good opportunity to use the RBs, especially IKM, on wheel routes and passes to the flat.

I think we pull this one out IF our offensive line and safeties play well. The turnover battle will be a key.
 
I'm going all out on this one. I've always been conservative on picking scores but I feel a chip on the Hawks shoulder after dropping the wisky game and out prove something. If Maryland was a top 20 defense supposedly and the Hawks took care of business then I believe we can score on pee-st. Contain numnuts mcfly and I say
34-13 Hawks! Lest get this MF on!
 
I usually don't do predictions and I shouldn't even really do this one. Not sure if is just wishful thinking or what, but I just have some kind of feeling it will be lopsided this year.

Iowa 42 - PSU 27
I feel the same way. Thinking HAWKS put a hurt on em and a payback win in more ways than one.

Pregame pep talk should include "remember the victims!" That just takes the motivation up a notch.
 
I feel the same way. Thinking HAWKS put a hurt on em and a payback win in more ways than one.

Pregame pep talk should include "remember the victims!" That just takes the motivation up a notch.


Not even the emotional aspect of it though. Iowa is just so much better in defensive categories. In particular, the line who should contain Sorely. The ends wont blitz that mich but seal the ends and keep him inside where all the help is. Theyve done before against running QBs. Penn St is pretty one dimensional and Sorely running is pretty much their diversity. Iowas offenense at this point is underrated as well. The TE's are great players but this year they also present scheming and personnel problems fo defenses. The way Iowa uses them as a focal point. It is unchartered waters in a way.
 
PSU 24 - Iowa 6

Based on raining conditions at least until 5pm ET, there won't be much passing and PSU will dominate ToP. PSU will put 9 in the box and consistently stop the run. PSU will be up 10-0 at halftime. In the second half, sporadic rain, and Stanley will be able to start passing. Similar to the WI game when we got behind, too many of Stanley's passes will be off the mark, and we end up losing 24-6. The two second half PSU TDs will be due to bad turnovers.

I don't think that Nate has led the Hawkeyes to a come from behind, road win against a ranked team. Being a die-hard Hawk fan, I hope I am wrong and he can git r dun. If we do lose, I sure hope HN doesn't go bat-sh!t crazy. This is a very entertaining team to watch, the defense is solid and the offense is a LOT more wide-open when we are playing unranked teams. If Purdue beats MSU, Purdue will likely be our last old Kirk offense and we'll finish up 9-3. If MSU wins, BF will get to run the offense and we will finish 10-2. Either way, one of KFs better seasons.
 
31-14 PSU

I hope to hell I am wrong but we haven’t beaten anyone yet. Penn State is going to blitz the hell out of us and I don’t think Stanley can make quick enough decisions to beat it. If we win this then this is a special team.


Relax. Hes a two year starter on a Div1 football team. Hes been blitzed plenty and Iowa has a formidable line this year keeping him upright. Hes increased his completion % by 5%. Are u just a nervous Nellie type?? Lol.
 
PSU 24 - Iowa 6

Based on raining conditions at least until 5pm ET, there won't be much passing and PSU will dominate ToP. PSU will put 9 in the box and consistently stop the run. PSU will be up 10-0 at halftime. In the second half, sporadic rain, and Stanley will be able to start passing. Similar to the WI game when we got behind, too many of Stanley's passes will be off the mark, and we end up losing 24-6. The two second half PSU TDs will be due to bad turnovers.

I don't think that Nate has led the Hawkeyes to a come from behind, road win against a ranked team. Being a die-hard Hawk fan, I hope I am wrong and he can git r dun. If we do lose, I sure hope HN doesn't go bat-sh!t crazy. This is a very entertaining team to watch, the defense is solid and the offense is a LOT more wide-open when we are playing unranked teams. If Purdue beats MSU, Purdue will likely be our last old Kirk offense and we'll finish up 9-3. If MSU wins, BF will get to run the offense and we will finish 10-2. Either way, one of KFs better seasons.

I call BS on the rain factor. People are taking this way out of proportion. Teams have played in rain before. A steady rain doesnt affect that much. I just watched the 2009 Iowa vs Penn St game last night. You know what the conditions were? Steady rain. 10-15 mile wind and 45-50 degree temps.

The argument or thought that weather is just going to hurt one team and be an advantage for another is generally pretty stupid. Actually, Penn St WR's have had issues catching the ball this season, so if there is any team that has to worry about rain I woukd think they might be.
 
And what analytics caused that turnaround?

Their simulations show Iowa losing by a td. 5 other models, including Sagarin, show Iowa losing on the road at Penn State.

It's the first time this year that all the source metrics their analyst used that everything agrees. I think it's heavily weighted to YPP diff, and PSU is really high there, but inconsistent.
 

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