Preview, Prediction: First-Place Northwestern Up Next for Hawkeyes

So did you fillet all of that? Lots of work!
Absolutely. An electric fillet knife makes it go quick. I can have a limit of bluegills done in 20 minutes from getting the knife out, to clean up afterwards.

Those ones went from the lake to the fryer in about an hour and a half. Me, my kid, and two of his buddies had that, a bowl of cole slaw, and a bag of sweet potato fries polished off in no time. It's unreal how much three 12 year old boys can eat, holy shit.
 
Well in that case here's what I brought home for supper Sunday afternoon.

IMG-2150.jpg
I'm not talking bluegill fishing. I'm talking shark hunting.
:)
 
It's 11 now. For Vegas to take the public to the cleaners, a lot of money has to be on the wrong side. That's why when a line looks strange, it's usually better to take least popular side. I remember 3 or 4 years ago Nebraska was favored by 2 against Illinois. Everybody, including myself, thought Nebraska would cover easily. I took Illinois and they won the game. That stuff happens all the time, way more the 50%. I'm not saying that's the case here because I think the line makes sense and could go either way.
If the line is moving up, could that mean a lot money is coming in on Iowa?

I wish I knew what Vegas sees in this game. They've knocked us off twice in a row after we got them three in a row. I have mentioned that they could be a little flat after our Purdue loss all but clinched the west for them. That could work to our advantage, regardless of the "we are Paddy's super bowl" angle.
 
This is a kinda strange game. Iowa basically handed the West to Northwestern last week regardless of how Saturday goes and now they're playing each other. Iowa has better players nearly across the board but Northwestern will outclass them on game day coaching.

Northwestern: The team that has more losses overall couldn't have handpicked better teams to lose to. 3 OOC teams and a non division team.

Iowa: Basically the opposite. 3-0 in the OCC including one really good win. But they've lost the 3 most important games this season. 2 of which were other division contenders.
 
If the line is moving up, could that mean a lot money is coming in on Iowa?

I wish I knew what Vegas sees in this game. They've knocked us off twice in a row after we got them three in a row. I have mentioned that they could be a little flat after our Purdue loss all but clinched the west for them. That could work to our advantage, regardless of the "we are Paddy's super bowl" angle.
Vegas didn’t see anything, early lines are just to start moving money around and see where the sucker bets pile up. Thursday will be when it settles out.

That said even if it settles in a goofy spot, it closes where the bets will make Vegas the most money. Not necessarily with the “right” spread.
 
If the line is moving up, could that mean a lot money is coming in on Iowa?

I wish I knew what Vegas sees in this game. They've knocked us off twice in a row after we got them three in a row. I have mentioned that they could be a little flat after our Purdue loss all but clinched the west for them. That could work to our advantage, regardless of the "we are Paddy's super bowl" angle.

When Vegas sets a line, Vegas knows what the actual score should be and also what the public perceives the score should be. The line is set somewhere between these two figures.

For example, public perception is Northwestern -3, Vegas actual is Iowa -18, Vegas line might be Iowa -10 because they'd know most of the money would go on NW and that would be a bad bet. I'm not saying that's the case here because I think the public and Vegas are closer on this one, just not the Iowa board.
 
Last edited:
There actually is a chance to win the big 10 west if Iowa wins out, and the other teams each lose 2. Just win out, and see. At the very least work hard, and go to the Sea World Holiday Bowl. Iowa football had some great times there in the 1980s.
 
"Iowa plays four trophy games every season. Iowa State, Wisconsin, Nebraska and Wisconsin are considered rivals."

I assumed you wanted Minnesota in there somewhere?

I have a hard time thinking Iowa won't win this game, but it's no gimme. Hopefully we can put together all 3 phases for this one, looks like I'll be freezing my ass off on Sat!

If hawks cut down on the errors, whether it is a key dropped ball, penalty, bad game decision or action, dont give up the big pass play, they should win.

jNW is pretty good of course but no powerhouse. The hawks are just a few errors and plays away from beating 3 good teams that they lost to.

I am done making score predictions with KF and BF. I think the hawks have an 85% chance of winning,
 
My prediction is that Iowa is up by 3 with under 6 to play and gives up a long drive being picked apart by Thorson, culminating in a touchdown with less than a minute to go. Iowa fails to score with the game ending in an interception. 24 - 28, Northwestern.
This is the likely scenario. If the game is close, NW will win. Iowa’s only chance is to get a big lead (which, right now, I don’t have much confidence in them to do).
 
There actually is a chance to win the big 10 west if Iowa wins out, and the other teams each lose 2. Just win out, and see. At the very least work hard, and go to the Sea World Holiday Bowl. Iowa football had some great times there in the 1980s.
Northwestern would have to lose to Iowa, Minnesota and Illinois.

Wisconsin and Purdue still play each other. Otherwise Purdue has Minnesota and Indiana.

Wisconsin has the highest likelihood of losing two, in fact they probably will. Road trips to Peen State and Purdue still on the docket.

We HAD to beat Purdue. Then we would have become the biggest gopher fans in the world. Now we're playing for the best bowl we can get invited to.
 
Northwestern would have to lose to Iowa, Minnesota and Illinois.

Wisconsin and Purdue still play each other. Otherwise Purdue has Minnesota and Indiana.

Wisconsin has the highest likelihood of losing two, in fact they probably will. Road trips to Peen State and Purdue still on the docket.

We HAD to beat Purdue. Then we would have become the biggest gopher fans in the world. Now we're playing for the best bowl we can get invited to.

It's not going to happen but if Minnie beats Purdue, NW and Wiscy. Wiscy loses to PSU (likely) and Wiscy beats Purdue (toss-up). Wiscy would have 4 losses, Purdue 4 losses and NW 3 losses and we beat NW in a tiebreaker.
 
There actually is a chance to win the big 10 west if Iowa wins out, and the other teams each lose 2. Just win out, and see. At the very least work hard, and go to the Sea World Holiday Bowl. Iowa football had some great times there in the 1980s.

Maybe we can meet up with BYU and they can have Ty Detmer back as their QB.
 
I’ll take the team playing for something unfortunately. Cats with a last second FG. Iowa’s D is terrible on last drives.
 
The more I think about it, the more I think Iowa rolls in this game. I just don’t have the courage to put the mortgage on it.

This game has the “where has this been all year” type of feel to it. I know ClintonIowa is doing his homer/alt schtick, but I don’t think he is that far off with his score prediction.
 

Latest posts

Top