Great question. I think that a lot of Husker fans think along the lines of your friend. I think that our talent level is getting better, but much of it is young. I agree with much of what both McKewon and HawkeyeDenis have said.
If you look at the schedules and how everything sets up, I'd say that Iowa and then Wisconsin are the leaders on paper, but the margin is slim. Many Husker fans think that "It's Iowa" or that "Iowa always craps the bed when they're supposed to be good." I won't buy into that line of thinking.
Iowa has the best returning QB in the division, as well as the most advantageous schedule. If Iowa is as good as many thinks they are, there is no reason that y'all shouldn't have a good shot at being 10-0 heading into the Wisconsin game. Obviously, you have both UW and NU at home.
At this point, I expect NU to lost at MSU. I could see us winning in IC, and yet Iowa wins the Division. I'm not writing this year off, I think that NU can win the Division if we take care of our business. But looking ahead to 2015, we'll have a lot of 3rd and 4th year guys with more experience and a more advantageous schedule.