***OFFICIAL IOWA VS SPARTY PREDICTION THREAD***

Iowa seems to play more careful on the road than at home under Kirk (and they obviously can be pretty conservative at home).
That may have something to do with the low scoring games on the road.
Probably. But a lot of coaches are like that.
It may have more to do with MSU than Ferentz.

Like Miller, I think MSU is a bully-dirty program. Bullies are more comfortable on their turf; Iowa hits this bully back in the mouth . . . with all their fans around them -- the fight is on.

If Iowa hits back at home; MSU's defense loses some moxy.
MSU was the superior team in all 3 games a Kinnick; but only won one game.

Iowa has had only one superior team to play at Thermopylae. Won two of them including the bad team last season.



Anyway, what I'm getting at is that if Iowa plays smash-mouth football, they're in the game with Sparty.
When the Hawks do it at home, MSU's defense tends to be much less spartan in allowing points.

This isn't the MSU offense of 2011 and 2010. If Iowa's defense can get the O off the field, then Iowa's offense will wear their defense down. Obviously

But the gimmicks Sparty has pulled demonstrate that Iowa's toughness is in their heads and schemes.
 
Hawks are given exemplary field position throughout the entire game; yet, fail to capitalize with TD's. Spartans will produce, offensively, early but eventually succumb to the Hawkeye defensive grind. Minnesota's offense (run) is eventually stuffed by mid to late 2nd quarter which allows the Hawk defense to pick up scoring opportunities in the second half when pass attempts become too perceivable. Special teams and defense will give the Hawks a subtlely cushioned win and with 8 field goals on the day, Myer foreshadows his legacy as the Hawkeyes march forward in classic, Ferentz form:

Iowa 40
Michigan St. 16
 
I picked this as a loss at the beginning of the season and although I am gradually being won over by this team, I will stick with my original thoughts....MSU 17, Hawks 13.
 
Interesting. I don't like being "right" in this instance, but look back at the predictions. Wow did some early wins start messing up peoples reality.

Hopefully Iowa can get back on track, but this goes to show that we have some serious holes to fill yet.

One positive I can take from the season so far: blitzing. Nice to finally get a good dose of it.
 

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