activebadger
Banned
Currently, Iowa is out. That's obvious. However I think they get in because there are a lot of pathways to get in. As others have stated, Iowa is in need of good wins more than they are anything else. There are 3 good teams left on the schedule (Illinois, Indiana, Minny). Win 2 of 3 and you are probably in at 10-8 as long as you win your first game against PSU in the BTT. Lose against PSU in the BTT and you are probably out but the chance of losing to PSU is probably remote.
10-8=85% chance
9-9=25% chance
9-9 + 2BTT wins = 80% chance
9-9 + 1BTT win = 50% chance
Just gotta win against the good teams. It doesn't really matter if you stack up wins against NW, PSU or Nebraska. The committee is going to look to see if you've beaten anyone good. Then they'll look to see if you've beaten anyone good away from home.
10-8=85% chance
9-9=25% chance
9-9 + 2BTT wins = 80% chance
9-9 + 1BTT win = 50% chance
Just gotta win against the good teams. It doesn't really matter if you stack up wins against NW, PSU or Nebraska. The committee is going to look to see if you've beaten anyone good. Then they'll look to see if you've beaten anyone good away from home.