My 2017 Iowa Football Prediction

There is a long history of teams doing well nationally, without wide receivers...unfortunately, it was in the 20s and 30s...

Hopefully...we will end up 6-6 and play someone in a bowl that won't make us a national "road kill" punchline.
 
I'll take a stab at the 1 to 10 confidence system
  • Wyoming
    • QB questions for Iowa in a stark comparison but they loose to much so this one is a 6.
  • ISU
    • More of a game then last year so this one is going to be a 7
  • North Texas
    • No such thing as a lock but this is as close as you can get so a 9
  • Penn
    • Hawks show up but "pass completed by Trace McSorely" will be heard to many times echoing in Kinnick so this is a 4
  • MSU
    • Hard fought game and Iowa gets it's revenge for the CCG loss in 2015 therefore a 6
  • IL
    • Line play wins games and Iowa's lines are superior - a 7
  • NW
    • I think this could go either way. One team will walk a way with it but which one? 5
  • MN
    • Going to be tuff but this is a grudge match w/ hardware on the line. Floyd stays in IAC - a 6
  • tOSU
    • I hate Urban Meyer but maybe we see an upset... Most likely not so a 3
  • Whisky
    • The bull stays in Madison, but just barely. Hard fought game as usual. I see a 4
  • Purdue
    • Not a total walk in the park but line play wins another one for the Hawkeyes. Giving this a 7
  • Nebraska
    • Riley's days are going to be numbered if the Hawks pull off a third in a row in Lincoln. I like Iowa in this contest so a 6 as this will be no cakewalk.
That's a 70 out of 120 for 8 wins. Using this 10 point confidence methodology the one toss up I see, NW, would be a loss, probably on pick late in the game by a somewhat inexperienced Hawkeye QB.
 
I'm slughtly more optimistic but I would put the Iowa State game at a 6 and Penn St at home at a 4.

Maybe increase at NW and at Nebby from 4 to 5. I would probably lower at Wiscy from a 4 to 3.

7-5 would is my worst case. I think 8-4 more likely with a possibility of 9 wins
 
I'm slightly more optimistic as well. For this reason. The QB position will be a strength when its all said and done. We'll see a good enough passing game and by Sept 15 we'll forget all about the 'bad passing game'.

I think Iowa could be 50/50 or better against everyone except OSU and PSU.

I'll go out on a limb and predict 7 wins. who knows maybe 8. Call it 7.5.

what will make a difference for the fans is this.

1) Big plays and excitement on offense
2) Respectable outings against the good teams
3) A nice win in the bowl (Music City, foster farms, Pin Stripe or Detroit)
 
tksirius said:
I can see where you're coming from with ISU. I know this isn't going to happen, but I'd really like to see Parker send the blitz on ISU's first obvious passing situation.
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Why KFz hasn't come out and kicked them directly in the nads, over and over again... is beyond me.

Given the schedule I wouldn't beach about losing to PSU, Ohio St, Wisconsin and Nebraska. That's 8-4. Throw in one upset and a loss to somebody else and 8-4 should be realistic.

But knowing Fleck's approach he'll have his guys fired up and catch Kirk punching the clock (the familiar ISU formula). Northwestern is on the road but 7 games into the season we should have matured enough to beat them, MIchigan St should be pizzed after last year so who knows what'll happen in East Lansing. 6-6 wouldn't be good...but I could easily see it happening.

Lose one of the first 3 and it's 2014 all over again.
 
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I don't think we can overstate the issues our offense could have at qb/wr...and then by extension, rb. Man, we're gonna see 11 in the box all season. New qb, new WR's. I could see 4 wins.
 
What if the offense is a steaming pile.... for 12 weeks straight. Anyone think this would derail BF's career path?
 
bitmap said:
I'll take a stab at the 1 to 10 confidence system
  • Wyoming
    • QB questions for Iowa in a stark comparison but they loose to much so this one is a 6.
  • ISU
    • More of a game then last year so this one is going to be a 7
  • North Texas
    • No such thing as a lock but this is as close as you can get so a 9
  • Penn
    • Hawks show up but "pass completed by Trace McSorely" will be heard to many times echoing in Kinnick so this is a 4
  • MSU
    • Hard fought game and Iowa gets it's revenge for the CCG loss in 2015 therefore a 6
  • IL
    • Line play wins games and Iowa's lines are superior - a 7
  • NW
    • I think this could go either way. One team will walk a way with it but which one? 5
  • MN
    • Going to be tuff but this is a grudge match w/ hardware on the line. Floyd stays in IAC - a 6
  • tOSU
    • I hate Urban Meyer but maybe we see an upset... Most likely not so a 3
  • Whisky
    • The bull stays in Madison, but just barely. Hard fought game as usual. I see a 4
  • Purdue
    • Not a total walk in the park but line play wins another one for the Hawkeyes. Giving this a 7
  • Nebraska
    • Riley's days are going to be numbered if the Hawks pull off a third in a row in Lincoln. I like Iowa in this contest so a 6 as this will be no cakewalk.
That's a 70 out of 120 for 8 wins. Using this 10 point confidence methodology the one toss up I see, NW, would be a loss, probably on pick late in the game by a somewhat inexperienced Hawkeye QB.
Click to expand...

Everybody is free to use their own formula, but typically, If you are using a 10-point scale, then divide by 10 to get the final win total. So 70 points out of 120 means 7 wins.

Some other examples. 120 points equals 12 wins. 65 points equals 6.5 wins.
 
golf9er said:
We beat ISU. We are strong in the trenches, they are not.
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golf9er, I think we'll be soft up the middle on D for at least the first few games. NB coming back from injury and then new dudes at the DT spot. I will say that I think Iowa will be playing better at the end of the season. but, I am highly concerned with our qb/wr positions. qb has talent, but inexperienced. wr is all inexperienced, except MVB, but he's coming off a broken foot he's broken in the same place within 6 months.
 
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