Let the portal madness begin

What a lot of teams are finding out that spent a lot of money is there is only one Champion at the end of the season. At the end of the day the players still need to play and the coaches need to be able to get these high payroll teams to win. At what point will it become unsustainable for some of these teams to keep doing this with no result? Is just making the playoff going to be good enough for the big donors? Will these high pressure jobs kill their chances at getting top tier coaches? What happens if TT has the same result next year or doesn't make the playoff? My guess is the coach is fired and you start all over. Lots of Universities are going to lose a lot of money and end up frustrated looking for the next Cignetti and I don't think there are many out there
The donors will be getting sick of donating hundreds of thousands of dollars if not seeing results. It's a double-edge sword but will be fun to watch.
 
Regarding guys coming from lower schools and the accuracy of HS recruiting rankings:

The last 2 year's final 4 in the CFP featured the following QBs whom pretty much all of the blue bloods missed on...

A 3-star who had 4 P4 offers out of HS (the best was either Nebraska or Ole Miss, both in the bottom halves of their conferences at that time)

A 3-star who had 6 P4 offers out of HS (the best was probably Minny or K State)

A 3-star who committed to JMU (who was BY FAR his best offer prior to the JMU coach moving on to Indiana and offering there, as well)

A 3-star who had 0 P4 offers (committed to Ferris State)

It also featured some 4-5 star guys that most thought would be successful. The point being, just because someone started off at a lower level, that does not mean they are lower quality. There just isn't that much data available on HS kids, you have a much better idea what they are all about after they have played some college ball (at any level).
 
The On3 College Football Transfer Portal Tracker to date (1-7-26 9:30AM):

2426 players have entered the portal.
576 have committed - 24%
10 have withdrawn - 0.41%

College Football Transfer Portal

Latest on ON3 College Football Portal Tracker to date (1-9-26 1:15PM):

2677 players have entered the portal.
926 have committed - 35% of 2677
17 have withdrawn - 0.65%

The number of players in entering the portal is about 10% higher than two days ago. Estimating at 5% a day entering, for 7.5 remaining days, non-accruing. 2677 + (2677 x .05)7.5 = 3680
That's a crap linear estimate.

An estimated 3680 in the portal for 2026, would in line with past years. (4195 for 2025 & 3311 for 2024)

The number of commits has consistently run 65-70% of the total in the portal.
 
Williams is back at UW. So last Friday he announces he has signed a contract to return for his junior year, on Tuesday announces he is in the portal and leaving, and on Thursday it's announced he is back at UW, under the same contract he signed 6 days before.

By the way, $4M for one year. So that's apparently the going rate for an all-Big Ten type QB.
Can't help but think how that will affect the chemistry of the locker room and his reputation around the team. Agrees to come back, then instantly gets a better deal and announces he's gone, only to turn around and "decide" (and I use that term loosely) to return to avoid potential legal issues. Don't know what kind of kid he is or his reputation around campus, but can definitely see how that would piss off a good amount of teammates and coaches. Doesn't seem like an ideal locker room situation to me.
 
Can't help but think how that will affect the chemistry of the locker room and his reputation around the team. Agrees to come back, then instantly gets a better deal and announces he's gone, only to turn around and "decide" (and I use that term loosely) to return to avoid potential legal issues. Don't know what kind of kid he is or his reputation around campus, but can definitely see how that would piss off a good amount of teammates and coaches. Doesn't seem like an ideal locker room situation to me.
Yeah... That's why right after I'd heard that I'd said to my friend it'd be funny if the coach cut him... Now it feels like you're forcing someone that doesn't want to be there to have to be there after they'd changed their mind even if it's 100% financial. His agent dropped him cause he knew how messy this was getting and wanted to continue having a career in the industry.

My conspiracy hat makes me think that the agent just dropped him before it was the other way around though. I mean it could go either way with who initiated the nonsense of him reneging on the deal. Was it the agent that advised him too because of other offers from the tampering Lane Kiffins or did the QB advise his agent to do so cause he changed his mind? I doubt we'll get clarity to that. But the agent doing what he did is telling us what he wants everyone to think.

All I know is I'm glad that drama hasn't been happening with us cause that locker room could be all kinds of messed up if the folks involved don't figure shit out really quick.
 
Regarding guys coming from lower schools and the accuracy of HS recruiting rankings:

The last 2 year's final 4 in the CFP featured the following QBs whom pretty much all of the blue bloods missed on...

A 3-star who had 4 P4 offers out of HS (the best was either Nebraska or Ole Miss, both in the bottom halves of their conferences at that time)

A 3-star who had 6 P4 offers out of HS (the best was probably Minny or K State)

A 3-star who committed to JMU (who was BY FAR his best offer prior to the JMU coach moving on to Indiana and offering there, as well)

A 3-star who had 0 P4 offers (committed to Ferris State)

It also featured some 4-5 star guys that most thought would be successful. The point being, just because someone started off at a lower level, that does not mean they are lower quality. There just isn't that much data available on HS kids, you have a much better idea what they are all about after they have played some college ball (at any level).
Lots of guys are late bloomers physically so they automatically get passed up. Other guys slip through cracks due to many reason. Believe it or not it can be hard to be recruited. If your team and teams you play against are not very good or rural then no one sees you in big numbers. If you are a multi-sport athlete or money is tight you cant get to camps and showcases which are really important. So lots of talent is missed
 
Can't help but think how that will affect the chemistry of the locker room and his reputation around the team. Agrees to come back, then instantly gets a better deal and announces he's gone, only to turn around and "decide" (and I use that term loosely) to return to avoid potential legal issues. Don't know what kind of kid he is or his reputation around campus, but can definitely see how that would piss off a good amount of teammates and coaches. Doesn't seem like an ideal locker room situation to me.
Maybe, but hey, the guy has made good friends on the team over the past year -- been through tough Saturday games together, having each other's backs. I've never played on a team at that level, but can imagine all that doesn't suddenly dissolve away, just because the guy wants to get his. And the first time next season that QB throws a dime for a TD or makes a spectacular 1st down run, I seriously doubt his teammates are gonna be thinking about what he did 9 months prior.
 
Iowa received a WR commitment from Tony Diaz from the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley. 5'11" and 176 lbs with three years of eligibility remaining. Had offers from Alabama, Illinois, Kentucky, Arkansas and Virginia Tech. Given the competition it looks like a good pickup.
 
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Iowa received a WR commitment from Tony Diaz from the University of Texas Rio Grande Valley. 5'11" and 176 lbs with three years of eligibility remaining. Had offers from Alabama, Illinois, Kentucky, Arkansas and Virginia Tech. Given the competition it looks like a good pickup.
That’s the big one
 


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